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Qatar SC vs Al Gharafa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL Qatar SC Stadium, Doha
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
02:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Qatar SC host Al Gharafa in the QSL. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Qatar SC at 1.5 goals for, 2.04 against; Al Gharafa at 1.55 for, 2.03 against. Head-to-head, Qatar SC have won 2 to Al Gharafa's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 12, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.63, favoring Al Gharafa. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Qatar SC
30%
Draws
31%
Al Gharafa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Qatar SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Al Gharafa have won more games recently than Qatar SC.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular QSL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Qatar SC Clean Sheet 14%
Al Gharafa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qatar SC Al Gharafa
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.04 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2026 QSL
Qatar SC vs Al Gharafa
2:0
Jan 19, 2026 QSL Cup
Qatar SC vs Al Gharafa
3:2
Nov 7, 2025 QSL
Al Gharafa vs Qatar SC
2:1
Feb 22, 2025 QSL
Al Gharafa vs Qatar SC
4:2
Sep 22, 2024 QSL
Qatar SC vs Al Gharafa
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qatar SC 31 / 100
Al Gharafa 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qatar SC Al Gharafa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Gharafa let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Qatar SC scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Qatar SC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Qatar SC VS Al Gharafa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Qatar SC

(Home)
09 Oct
Qatar SC
0 : 3
Al Rayyan
01 Oct
Qatar SC
1 : 0
Al Bidda
20 Sept
Al Rayyan
2 : 2
Qatar SC
12 Sept
Al Arabi (Qatar)
0 : 0
Qatar SC
03 Sept
Al Ahli
1 : 0
Qatar SC
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Al Gharafa

(Away)
08 Oct
Al Wakra
3 : 2
Al Gharafa
01 Oct
Al Gharafa
4 : 2
Al Mesaimeer
15 Sept
Al Hilal
2 : 1
Al Gharafa
11 Sept
Al Gharafa
0 : 0
Lusail
05 Sept
Al Sadd
4 : 1
Al Gharafa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 5 4 1 0 10:2 13
2 Al Sadd 5 4 0 1 21:10 12
3 Al Duhail 5 2 3 0 9:3 9
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 5 2 3 0 8:5 9
5 Shamal 5 2 2 1 10:10 8
6 Al Ahli 5 2 1 2 10:9 7
7 Al Shahaniya 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
8 Lusail 5 1 2 2 7:5 5
9 Al Wakra 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
10 Al Gharafa 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
11 Qatar SC 5 0 2 3 4:12 2
12 Al Sailiya 5 0 0 5 5:18 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)