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Qatar U17 vs Mongolia U17

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17 2025
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AI Match Summary

Qatar U17 in this AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Qatar U17
15%
Draws
42%
Mongolia U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Qatar U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Qatar U17 lately — more wins on the board than Mongolia U17.
  • Model gives Qatar U17 a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Qatar U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Qatar U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Qatar U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Mongolia U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qatar U17 Mongolia U17
Matches Played 29 9
Wins 9 2
Draws 6 0
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.17 0.44
Goals Conceded 1.62 3.56
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2024 AFC Asian Cup U17
Qatar U17 vs Mongolia U17
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qatar U17 85 / 100
Mongolia U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qatar U17 Mongolia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qatar U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mongolia U17 has conceded goals in 78% of their last 9 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: Mongolia U17 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Qatar U17's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Qatar U17 VS Mongolia U17
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 3.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Qatar U17

(Home)
12 May
China U17
2 : 0
Qatar U17
09 May
Qatar U17
2 : 0
Indonesia U17
05 May
Japan U17
3 : 1
Qatar U17
26 Jan
Qatar U17
2 : 3
PSG U17
21 Jan
Qatar U17
2 : 1
Rangers U17
Page 1 of 6

Mongolia U17

(Away)
30 Nov
Mongolia U17
2 : 6
Turkmenistan U17
26 Nov
Kuwait U17
5 : 0
Mongolia U17
24 Nov
Mongolia U17
0 : 4
Thailand U17
22 Nov
Maldives U17
0 : 1
Mongolia U17
27 Oct
Mongolia U17
1 : 0
Nepal U17
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U17 4 4 0 0 17:4 12
2 Iran U17 4 3 0 1 13:7 9
3 Hong Kong U17 4 2 0 2 7:17 6
4 Syria U17 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
5 Jordan U17 4 0 0 4 4:12 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afghanistan U17 4 4 0 0 23:3 12
2 Philippines U17 4 2 0 2 9:9 6
3 Bangladesh U17 4 2 0 2 10:4 6
4 Cambodia U17 4 2 0 2 3:5 6
5 Macau U17 4 0 0 4 0:24 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U17 4 3 1 0 22:2 10
2 China U17 4 3 1 0 19:2 10
3 Bahrain U17 4 2 0 2 2:4 6
4 Bhutan U17 4 0 1 3 2:14 1
5 Maldives U17 4 0 1 3 2:25 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U17 3 3 0 0 24:2 9
2 India U17 3 2 0 1 16:3 6
3 Turkmenistan U17 3 1 0 2 10:3 3
4 Brunei U17 3 0 0 3 0:42 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U17 3 3 0 0 5:0 9
2 Iraq U17 3 2 0 1 9:1 6
3 Palestine U17 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
4 Chinese Taipei U17 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U17 3 3 0 0 21:2 9
2 Qatar U17 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
3 Mongolia U17 3 1 0 2 1:9 3
4 Nepal U17 3 0 0 3 2:15 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U17 3 2 1 0 22:1 7
2 Indonesia U17 3 2 1 0 11:0 7
3 Kuwait U17 3 1 0 2 10:4 3
4 Northern Mariana Islands U17 3 0 0 3 0:38 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates U17 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Malaysia U17 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
3 Laos U17 2 0 1 1 4:7 1
4 Lebanon U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen U17 3 2 1 0 10:4 7
2 Vietnam U17 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
3 Myanmar U17 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
4 Kyrgyzstan U17 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan U17 3 3 0 0 38:1 9
2 Oman U17 3 2 0 1 23:2 6
3 Singapore U17 3 1 0 2 15:8 3
4 Guam U17 3 0 0 3 0:65 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams