Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Qatar U23 vs Saudi Arabia U21

World World

Friendly International 2024 Al Janoub Stadium, Al Wakrah
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
El Khatib Y.
7' Event
Khadhari M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Qatar U23 and Saudi Arabia U21 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Qatar U23
30%
Draws
54%
Saudi Arabia U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Saudi Arabia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Qatar U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Saudi Arabia U21 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Qatar U23 Clean Sheet 11%
Saudi Arabia U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qatar U23 Saudi Arabia U21
Matches Played 31 12
Wins 11 4
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 1.35 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 16, 2024 Friendly International
Qatar U23 vs Saudi Arabia U21
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qatar U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer El Khatib Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Saudi Arabia U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qatar U23 10 / 100
Saudi Arabia U21 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qatar U23 Saudi Arabia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saudi Arabia U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saudi Arabia U21 let in goals in 100% of their last 12 matches.

Qatar U23's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Qatar U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Qatar U23 VS Saudi Arabia U21
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Qatar U23

(Home)
18 Sept
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 0
Qatar U23
15 Sept
Qatar U23
1 : 4
South Korea U23
06 Sept
Al-Waab
1 : 1
Qatar U23
31 Aug
Al Bidda
2 : 0
Qatar U23
25 Aug
Umm-Salal
1 : 1
Qatar U23
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Saudi Arabia U21

(Away)
10 Jun
D.R. Congo U20
2 : 0
Saudi Arabia U21
05 Jun
Saudi Arabia U21
3 : 1
Tunisia U23
02 Jun
Saudi Arabia U21
5 : 3
Colombia U19
31 May
China U20
1 : 0
Saudi Arabia U21
16 Dec
Qatar U23
1 : 1
Saudi Arabia U21
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