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Qatar vs Bahrain

World World

Friendly International 2025 Al Thumama Stadium, Doha
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Muntari M.
62' Event
Al Aswad K.
(Penalty)
66' Event
Al Khatal I.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Qatar and Bahrain finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Qatar
39%
Draws
30%
Bahrain
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Qatar haven't matched Bahrain's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Qatar Clean Sheet 25%
Bahrain Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qatar Bahrain
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 6 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2025 Friendly International
Qatar vs Bahrain
2:2
Jan 10, 2023 Arabian Gulf Cup
Qatar vs Bahrain
1:2
Nov 30, 2021 FIFA Arab Cup
Qatar vs Bahrain
1:0
Dec 29, 2017 Arabian Gulf Cup
Qatar vs Bahrain
1:1
Jan 19, 2015 Asian Cup
Qatar vs Bahrain
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qatar Compare

Top Goalscorer Muntari M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alaaeldin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Bahrain Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Khatal I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qatar 33 / 100
Bahrain 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qatar Bahrain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qatar scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Bahrain's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: Bahrain registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Qatar VS Bahrain
0.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Qatar

(Home)
24 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 : 1
Qatar
18 Jun
Canada
6 : 0
Qatar
13 Jun
Qatar
1 : 1
Switzerland
06 Jun
Qatar
0 : 0
El Salvador
28 May
Ireland
1 : 0
Qatar
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Bahrain

(Away)
05 Jun
Georgia
2 : 0
Bahrain
09 Dec
Bahrain
3 : 1
Sudan
06 Dec
Bahrain
1 : 5
Algeria
03 Dec
Iraq
2 : 1
Bahrain
26 Nov
Bahrain
1 : 0
Djibouti
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