Sport Picks
Qatar vs Kyrgyzstan
World
World Championship 2026 Ahmad bin Ali Stadium, Al Rayyan 
Match Events
5'
5'
Abdurakhmanov O.
29'
29'
Mohammed I.
39'
39'
Ali A.
AI Match Summary
The World Championship 2026 game between Qatar and Kyrgyzstan finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Qatar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Qatar come out ahead of Kyrgyzstan on wins alone.
- 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Qatar have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Qatar Clean Sheet 20%
Kyrgyzstan Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Qatar | Kyrgyzstan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 25 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.08 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 0.67 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 25, 2025 World Championship
Kyrgyzstan vs Qatar
3:1
Oct 10, 2024 World Championship
Qatar vs Kyrgyzstan
3:1
Dec 25, 2018 Friendly International
Qatar vs Kyrgyzstan
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Qatar Compare
Top Goalscorer Ali A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Al Hassan I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Kyrgyzstan Compare
Top Goalscorer Shukurov A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.37
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Qatar 32 / 100
Kyrgyzstan 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Qatar Kyrgyzstan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kyrgyzstan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kyrgyzstan has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Qatar scored in 64% of their last 25 games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Kyrgyzstan lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Qatar VS Kyrgyzstan
0.25 Goals Scored 0.33
1 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 17%
25% Over 2.5 17%
0% Over 3.5 17%
Recent Form & Match History
Qatar
(Home) 24 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 : 1 Qatar
18 Jun
Canada
6 : 0 Qatar
13 Jun
Qatar
1 : 1 Switzerland
06 Jun
Qatar
0 : 0 El Salvador
28 May
Ireland
1 : 0 Qatar
Page 1 of 5
13 Jun
Qatar
1 : 1 Switzerland
06 Jun
Qatar
0 : 0 El Salvador
07 Dec
Qatar
0 : 3 Tunisia
01 Dec
Qatar
0 : 1 Palestine
17 Nov
Qatar
1 : 2 Zimbabwe
Page 1 of 3
Kyrgyzstan
(Away) 09 Jun
Kyrgyzstan
0 : 0 Palestine
06 Jun
Kyrgyzstan
0 : 0 Palestine
28 Mar
Kyrgyzstan
2 : 5 Madagascar
25 Mar
Kyrgyzstan
0 : 1 Equatorial Guinea
05 Sept
Uzbekistan
4 : 0 Kyrgyzstan
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Uzbekistan
4 : 0 Kyrgyzstan
02 Sept
Oman
2 : 1 Kyrgyzstan
05 Jun
North Korea
2 : 2 Kyrgyzstan
20 Mar
Uzbekistan
1 : 0 Kyrgyzstan
14 Nov
United Arab Emirates
3 : 0 Kyrgyzstan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iran | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19:8 | 23 |
| 2 | Uzbekistan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 3 | United Arab Emirates | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Qatar | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:24 | 13 |
| 5 | Kyrgyzstan | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | 8 |
| 6 | North Korea | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9:21 | 3 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Korea | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 20:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Jordan | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Iraq | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 15 |
| 4 | Oman | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 5 | Palestine | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 6 | Kuwait | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7:20 | 5 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 30:3 | 23 |
| 2 | Australia | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Indonesia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:20 | 12 |
| 5 | China | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | 9 |
| 6 | Bahrain | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5:16 | 6 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)
