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Qatar vs Russia

World World

Friendly International 2025 Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha
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Match Events

33' Event
Golovin A.
Assist: Batrakov A.
35' Event
Kislyak M.
Assist: Krugovoy D.
45' Event
Sergeev I.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Qatar and Russia finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Russia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Qatar
30%
Draws
58%
Russia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Russia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Qatar haven't matched Russia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Russia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Qatar Clean Sheet 18%
Russia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qatar Russia
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 6 17
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 1.04 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.81 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2025 Friendly International
Qatar vs Russia
1:4
Sep 12, 2023 Friendly International
Qatar vs Russia
1:1
Nov 10, 2016 Friendly International
Qatar vs Russia
2:1
Mar 29, 2011 Friendly International
Qatar vs Russia
1:1
May 25, 1996 Friendly International
Qatar vs Russia
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qatar Compare

Top Goalscorer Afif A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22

Russia Compare

Top Goalscorer Golovin A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kislyak M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qatar 10 / 100
Russia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qatar Russia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Russia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Qatar found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).

Russia let in goals in 46% of their last 28 matches.

Qatar has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Qatar VS Russia
0.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Qatar

(Home)
24 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 : 1
Qatar
18 Jun
Canada
6 : 0
Qatar
13 Jun
Qatar
1 : 1
Switzerland
06 Jun
Qatar
0 : 0
El Salvador
28 May
Ireland
1 : 0
Qatar
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Russia

(Away)
09 Jun
Russia
3 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
05 Jun
Russia
3 : 0
Burkina Faso
28 May
Egypt
1 : 0
Russia
31 Mar
Russia
0 : 0
Mali
27 Mar
Russia
3 : 1
Nicaragua
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