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Qatar vs Zimbabwe

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Friendly International 2025 Abdullah bin Khalifa Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Qatar play Zimbabwe in the Friendly International 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Qatar averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Zimbabwe averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Qatar won 0, Zimbabwe won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 17, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Qatar and 1.13 for Zimbabwe. This points to a Zimbabwe double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Qatar
30%
Draws
39%
Zimbabwe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zimbabwe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Qatar picked up more points recently compared to Zimbabwe.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Qatar Clean Sheet 21%
Zimbabwe Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qatar Zimbabwe
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.11 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2025 Friendly International
Qatar vs Zimbabwe
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qatar Compare

Top Goalscorer Gouda M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Zimbabwe Compare

Top Goalscorer Garananga M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Antonio B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qatar 32 / 100
Zimbabwe 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qatar Zimbabwe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zimbabwe or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Qatar attacking → ← attacking Zimbabwe

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qatar scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Zimbabwe let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Qatar went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Zimbabwe lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 30
0.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13