Sport Picks
Qingdao Hainiu vs Beijing Guoan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
China
Super League Qingdao Youth Football Stadium, Qingdao 
Match Events
5'
5'
Abreu F.
(Penalty)
32'
32'
Soler S.
40'
40'
Spajic U.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Qingdao Hainiu and Beijing Guoan finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Beijing Guoan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Beijing Guoan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Qingdao Hainiu haven't matched Beijing Guoan's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Beijing Guoan's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Qingdao Hainiu Clean Sheet 10%
Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Qingdao Hainiu | Beijing Guoan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 7 | 18 |
| Draws | 3 | 10 |
| Losses | 19 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 2.15 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.14 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 9, 2026 Super League
Qingdao Hainiu vs Beijing Guoan
0:3
May 15, 2026 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Hainiu
4:2
Oct 26, 2025 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Hainiu
2:4
May 17, 2025 Super League
Qingdao Hainiu vs Beijing Guoan
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Hainiu
6:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Qingdao Hainiu Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Beijing Guoan Compare
Top Goalscorer Soler S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Abreu F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Qingdao Hainiu 10 / 100
Beijing Guoan 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Qingdao Hainiu Beijing Guoan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Beijing Guoan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.
Qingdao Hainiu scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Beijing Guoan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.
Scoring Trends
Qingdao Hainiu VS Beijing Guoan
0.5 Goals Scored 2.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Qingdao Hainiu
(Home) 09 Oct
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 3 Beijing Guoan
05 Sept
Dalian Yingbo
2 : 1 Qingdao Hainiu
29 Aug
Qingdao Hainiu
1 : 5 Wuhan Three Towns
23 Aug
Shanghai Port
2 : 1 Qingdao Hainiu
14 Aug
Shandong Taishan
3 : 1 Qingdao Hainiu
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 3 Beijing Guoan
29 Aug
Qingdao Hainiu
1 : 5 Wuhan Three Towns
08 Aug
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 1 Shanghai Shenhua
25 Jul
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 2 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
05 Jul
Qingdao Hainiu
1 : 1 Chengdu Rongcheng
Page 1 of 3
Beijing Guoan
(Away) 09 Oct
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 3 Beijing Guoan
15 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1 Pohang
05 Sept
Shanghai Port
0 : 0 Beijing Guoan
01 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
28 Aug
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 1 Beijing Guoan
Page 1 of 7
09 Oct
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 3 Beijing Guoan
05 Sept
Shanghai Port
0 : 0 Beijing Guoan
28 Aug
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 1 Beijing Guoan
18 Aug
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 3 Beijing Guoan
15 Aug
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2 : 4 Beijing Guoan
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 51:30 | 52 |
| 2 | Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52:33 | 41 |
| 3 | Dalian Yingbo | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38:42 | 40 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 54:51 | 38 |
| 5 | Qingdao West Coast | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31:32 | 38 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46:43 | 37 |
| 7 | Shanghai Port | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 52:46 | 31 |
| 9 | Zhejiang Professional | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 47:47 | 31 |
| 10 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 27:32 | 31 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:47 | 29 |
| 12 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 35:37 | 28 |
| 13 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:32 | 25 |
| 14 | Liaoning Tieren | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34:47 | 25 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39:46 | 21 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34:56 | 14 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)
