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Qingdao Hainiu vs Chengdu Rongcheng Prediction & H2H Stats

China China

Super League Qingdao Youth Football Stadium, Qingdao
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Match Events

46'
Sub
Li Hailong In: Yang Cong
Out: Li Hailong
55' Event
Yang Ming-Yang
Assist: Felipe Silva
65'
Sub
Andjelkovic N. In: Wang Qiao
Out: Andjelkovic N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Qingdao Hainiu
15%
Draws
85%
Chengdu Rongcheng
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chengdu Rongcheng

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chengdu Rongcheng lately — more wins on the board than Qingdao Hainiu.
  • Chengdu Rongcheng are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Qingdao Hainiu Clean Sheet 10%
Chengdu Rongcheng Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qingdao Hainiu Chengdu Rongcheng
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 16
Draws 4 7
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 1.38 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Super League
Qingdao Hainiu vs Chengdu Rongcheng
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Qingdao Hainiu
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Qingdao Hainiu
0:0
Jul 23, 2025 FA Cup
Qingdao Hainiu vs Chengdu Rongcheng
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 Super League
Qingdao Hainiu vs Chengdu Rongcheng
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qingdao Hainiu Compare

Top Goalscorer Yang Cong
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Chengdu Rongcheng Compare

Top Goalscorer Yang Ming-Yang
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qingdao Hainiu 10 / 100
Chengdu Rongcheng 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qingdao Hainiu Chengdu Rongcheng

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chengdu Rongcheng Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qingdao Hainiu's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Chengdu Rongcheng conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Chengdu Rongcheng's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Qingdao Hainiu VS Chengdu Rongcheng
0.63 Goals Scored 2
3 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Qingdao Hainiu

(Home)
05 Sept
Dalian Yingbo
2 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
29 Aug
Qingdao Hainiu
1 : 5
Wuhan Three Towns
23 Aug
Shanghai Port
2 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
14 Aug
Shandong Taishan
3 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
08 Aug
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 1
Shanghai Shenhua
Page 1 of 6

Chengdu Rongcheng

(Away)
06 Sept
Henan Songshan Longmen
0 : 0
Chengdu Rongcheng
29 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng
2 : 1
Liaoning Tieren
22 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng
4 : 5
Shanghai Shenhua
15 Aug
Zhejiang Professional
2 : 3
Chengdu Rongcheng
08 Aug
Yunnan Yukun
1 : 0
Chengdu Rongcheng
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 26 15 7 4 51:30 52
2 Dalian Yingbo 26 12 4 10 38:42 40
3 Beijing Guoan 26 11 10 5 49:33 38
4 Yunnan Yukun 26 11 5 10 54:51 38
5 Qingdao West Coast 26 8 14 4 31:32 38
6 Shandong Taishan 26 13 4 9 46:43 37
7 Shanghai Port 26 10 8 8 40:33 33
8 Shanghai Shenhua 26 12 5 9 52:46 31
9 Zhejiang Professional 26 10 6 10 45:43 31
10 Chongqing Tonglianglong 26 7 10 9 27:32 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 26 8 4 14 34:45 28
12 Henan Songshan Longmen 26 8 9 9 33:35 27
13 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 26 9 8 9 36:32 25
14 Liaoning Tieren 26 7 4 15 34:47 25
15 Wuhan Three Towns 26 5 11 10 39:46 21
16 Qingdao Hainiu 26 6 3 17 34:53 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)