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Qingdao Hainiu vs Shenzhen FC

China China

Super League 2023 Qingdao Youth Football Stadium, Qingdao
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Peng Xinli
36'
Sub
Jiang Zhipeng In: Pei Shuai
Out: Jiang Zhipeng
46'
Sub
Huang Ruifeng In: Mi Haolun
Out: Huang Ruifeng

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2023 game between Qingdao Hainiu and Shenzhen FC finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Qingdao Hainiu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Qingdao Hainiu
6%
Draws
4%
Shenzhen FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Qingdao Hainiu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Shenzhen FC haven't matched Qingdao Hainiu's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Qingdao Hainiu taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Shenzhen FC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Qingdao Hainiu Clean Sheet 20%
Shenzhen FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qingdao Hainiu Shenzhen FC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 2
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 25
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2023 Super League
Qingdao Hainiu vs Shenzhen FC
5:0
Apr 16, 2023 Super League
Shenzhen FC vs Qingdao Hainiu
2:1
Apr 19, 2017 FA Cup
Qingdao Hainiu vs Shenzhen FC
1:2
Jul 10, 2016 League One
Qingdao Hainiu vs Shenzhen FC
0:1
Mar 20, 2016 League One
Shenzhen FC vs Qingdao Hainiu
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qingdao Hainiu Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Peng Xinli
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Shenzhen FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qingdao Hainiu 85 / 100
Shenzhen FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qingdao Hainiu Shenzhen FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qingdao Hainiu scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Shenzhen FC conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.

Shenzhen FC lost 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Qingdao Hainiu VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Qingdao Hainiu

(Home)
25 Jul
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
21 Jul
Shanghai Shenhua
4 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
17 Jul
Henan Songshan Longmen
5 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
14 Jul
Zhejiang Professional
3 : 2
Qingdao Hainiu
05 Jul
Qingdao Hainiu
1 : 1
Chengdu Rongcheng
Page 1 of 7

Shenzhen FC

(Away)
04 Nov
Shenzhen FC
0 : 3
Beijing Guoan
29 Oct
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 0
Shenzhen FC
23 Oct
Chengdu Rongcheng
4 : 0
Shenzhen FC
29 Sept
Shenzhen FC
0 : 1
Changchun Yatai
24 Sept
Shenzhen FC
0 : 5
Zhejiang Professional
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shanghai Port30196561:3063
2Shandong Taishan301610459:2558
3Zhejiang Professional30167757:3455
4Chengdu Rongcheng30158751:3253
5Shanghai Shenhua30157834:3152
6Beijing Guoan30149753:3551
7Wuhan Three Towns30149751:3551
8Tianjin Jinmen Tiger301115440:2948
9Changchun Yatai301091144:4839
10Henan Songshan Longmen30991238:4036
11Meizhou Hakka30971442:5434
12Cangzhou Mighty Lions30871529:6031
13Qingdao Hainiu30771634:4528
14Nantong Zhiyun304101626:4222
15Dalian Professional303111625:4720
16Shenzhen FC30332422:7912
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2024/2025 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2024/2025 (League phase)
Relegation - Jia League 2024 (Main)