Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Qingdao Hainiu vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

China China

Super League Qingdao Youth Football Stadium, Qingdao
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Qingdao Hainiu host Tianjin Jinmen Tiger in the Super League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Qingdao Hainiu at 2 goals for, 2 against; Tianjin Jinmen Tiger at 1 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Qingdao Hainiu have won 2 to Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.50) point toward Qingdao Hainiu. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Qingdao Hainiu
20%
Draws
38%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Qingdao Hainiu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Qingdao Hainiu lately — more wins on the board than Tianjin Jinmen Tiger.
  • Qingdao Hainiu are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Qingdao Hainiu Clean Sheet 16%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qingdao Hainiu Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Qingdao Hainiu
1:1
Jul 27, 2025 Super League
Qingdao Hainiu vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2:0
Mar 29, 2025 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Qingdao Hainiu
1:0
Oct 27, 2024 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Qingdao Hainiu
1:0
May 26, 2024 Super League
Qingdao Hainiu vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qingdao Hainiu 41 / 100
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qingdao Hainiu Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Qingdao Hainiu scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Qingdao Hainiu remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Qingdao Hainiu VS Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Qingdao Hainiu

(Home)
14 Jul
Zhejiang Professional
3 : 2
Qingdao Hainiu
05 Jul
Qingdao Hainiu
1 : 1
Chengdu Rongcheng
26 Jun
Qingdao Hainiu
4 : 2
Yunnan Yukun
20 Jun
Wuxi Wugou
2 : 3
Qingdao Hainiu
30 May
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
3 : 2
Qingdao Hainiu
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Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

(Away)
04 Jul
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
3 : 0
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
27 Jun
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
19 Jun
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
2 : 1
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
31 May
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 0
Dalian Yingbo
23 May
Shanghai Port
1 : 1
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng18133238:1742
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1877422:2028
3Dalian Yingbo1781825:3125
4Shandong Taishan1893634:3124
5Yunnan Yukun1873834:3324
6Qingdao West Coast1859422:2824
7Beijing Guoan1775529:2321
8Zhejiang Professional1874726:3120
9Liaoning Tieren1762924:2920
10Shenzhen Xinpengcheng18621025:3120
11Shanghai Shenhua1785436:2719
12Shanghai Port1755726:2415
13Henan Songshan Longmen1763818:2215
14Qingdao Hainiu1863929:3114
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1746722:228
16Wuhan Three Towns1727824:348
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Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)