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Qingdao Hainiu vs Yunnan Yukun Prediction & H2H Stats

China China

Super League Qingdao Youth Football Stadium, Qingdao
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Song Wenjie
Assist: Jin Yonghao
19' Event
Taty Maritu O.
Assist: Ye Chugui
26' Event
Lin Chuangyi
Assist: Song Wenjie

AI Match Summary

Qingdao Hainiu in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Qingdao Hainiu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Qingdao Hainiu
15%
Draws
85%
Yunnan Yukun
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yunnan Yukun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Yunnan Yukun have won more games recently than Qingdao Hainiu.
  • Model gives Yunnan Yukun a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40.400000000000006%
Qingdao Hainiu Clean Sheet 10%
Yunnan Yukun Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qingdao Hainiu Yunnan Yukun
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.37 2.17
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Super League
Qingdao Hainiu vs Yunnan Yukun
4:2
Mar 7, 2026 Super League
Yunnan Yukun vs Qingdao Hainiu
3:1
Aug 9, 2025 Super League
Qingdao Hainiu vs Yunnan Yukun
5:1
Apr 6, 2025 Super League
Yunnan Yukun vs Qingdao Hainiu
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qingdao Hainiu Compare

Top Goalscorer Song Wenjie
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lin Chuangyi
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Yunnan Yukun Compare

Top Goalscorer Taty Maritu O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cleber
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qingdao Hainiu 10 / 100
Yunnan Yukun 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qingdao Hainiu Yunnan Yukun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yunnan Yukun Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:8
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

Qingdao Hainiu's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Yunnan Yukun's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Difficult form: Yunnan Yukun registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Qingdao Hainiu VS Yunnan Yukun
0.63 Goals Scored 2.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Qingdao Hainiu

(Home)
05 Sept
Dalian Yingbo
2 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
29 Aug
Qingdao Hainiu
1 : 5
Wuhan Three Towns
23 Aug
Shanghai Port
2 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
14 Aug
Shandong Taishan
3 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
08 Aug
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 1
Shanghai Shenhua
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Yunnan Yukun

(Away)
06 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
5 : 0
Liaoning Tieren
02 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
1 : 0
Chongqing Tonglianglong
29 Aug
Zhejiang Professional
6 : 0
Yunnan Yukun
22 Aug
Beijing Guoan
3 : 3
Yunnan Yukun
15 Aug
Yunnan Yukun
3 : 1
Dalian Yingbo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 26 15 7 4 51:30 52
2 Dalian Yingbo 26 12 4 10 38:42 40
3 Beijing Guoan 26 11 10 5 49:33 38
4 Yunnan Yukun 26 11 5 10 54:51 38
5 Qingdao West Coast 26 8 14 4 31:32 38
6 Shandong Taishan 26 13 4 9 46:43 37
7 Shanghai Port 26 10 8 8 40:33 33
8 Shanghai Shenhua 26 12 5 9 52:46 31
9 Zhejiang Professional 26 10 6 10 45:43 31
10 Chongqing Tonglianglong 26 7 10 9 27:32 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 26 8 4 14 34:45 28
12 Henan Songshan Longmen 26 8 9 9 33:35 27
13 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 26 9 8 9 36:32 25
14 Liaoning Tieren 26 7 4 15 34:47 25
15 Wuhan Three Towns 26 5 11 10 39:46 21
16 Qingdao Hainiu 26 6 3 17 34:53 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)