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Qingdao Red Lions vs Nanjing City

China China

League One 2025 Qingdao Tiantai Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Lupeta J.
37' Event
Pi Ziyang
40'
Sub
Hu Rentian In: Yuan H.
Out: Hu Rentian

AI Match Summary

The League One 2025 game between Qingdao Red Lions and Nanjing City finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nanjing City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Qingdao Red Lions
28%
Draws
22%
Nanjing City
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Qingdao Red Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Nanjing City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Qingdao Red Lions's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular League One 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Qingdao Red Lions Clean Sheet 20%
Nanjing City Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qingdao Red Lions Nanjing City
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 FA Cup
Qingdao Red Lions vs Nanjing City
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 League One
Qingdao Red Lions vs Nanjing City
2:3
Jun 22, 2025 League One
Nanjing City vs Qingdao Red Lions
2:0
Oct 26, 2024 League One
Qingdao Red Lions vs Nanjing City
2:1
Jun 15, 2024 League One
Nanjing City vs Qingdao Red Lions
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qingdao Red Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Pi Ziyang
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Nanjing City Compare

Top Goalscorer Lupeta J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wang Xijie
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qingdao Red Lions 49 / 100
Nanjing City 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qingdao Red Lions Nanjing City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nanjing City let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Qingdao Red Lions stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Nanjing City has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Qingdao Red Lions VS Nanjing City
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Liaoning Tieren30208264:2768
2Chongqing Tonglianglong30186652:3260
3Guangdong GZ-Power30186655:3560
4Yanbian Longding30167743:2555
5Shijiazhuang Gongfu301211739:3147
6Dingnan Ganlian301111840:3544
7Nantong Zhiyun301271144:3143
8Dalian Kun City301191042:3842
9Shaanxi Union301091148:4739
10Suzhou Dongwu309111025:2838
11Nanjing City30991240:4836
12Shanghai Jiading Huilong30861626:4430
13Foshan Nanshi30781527:4929
14Shenzhen Juniors30841838:6028
15Guangxi Pingguo Haliao30671724:4725
16Qingdao Red Lions30272120:5013