Sport Picks

China

FA Cup Qingdao Tiantai Stadium

Match Events

49'

Deng Jiajie

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Qingdao Red Lions host Nanjing City in the FA Cup. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Nanjing City have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Qingdao Red Lions have conceded 0.88 and scored 0.88. Past meetings favor Nanjing City slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 15, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.00, favoring Nanjing City. Nanjing City in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Qingdao Red Lions

39%

Draws

31%

Nanjing City

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Nanjing City has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Qingdao Red Lions.
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
Cup tournament structure in FA Cup increases high-stakes performance focus.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Qingdao Red Lions Clean Sheet 68%

Nanjing City Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Qingdao Red Lions	Nanjing City
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	5	10
Draws	9	7
Losses	15	12
Goals Scored	0.88	1.13
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 FA Cup

Qingdao Red Lions vs Nanjing City

Possession: 52% - 44% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Oct 25, 2025 League One

Qingdao Red Lions vs Nanjing City

Possession: 42% - 49% Cards: 2 - 1

2:3

Jun 22, 2025 League One

Nanjing City vs Qingdao Red Lions

Possession: 49% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

Oct 26, 2024 League One

Qingdao Red Lions vs Nanjing City

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 1 - 0

2:1

Jun 15, 2024 League One

Nanjing City vs Qingdao Red Lions

Possession: 54% - 57% Cards: 3 - 0

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qingdao Red Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Deng Jiajie

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Nanjing City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qingdao Red Lions 41 / 100

Nanjing City 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Qingdao Red Lions Nanjing City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QIN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qingdao Red Lions scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Nanjing City let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Qingdao Red Lions went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Nanjing City lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Qingdao Red Lions VS Nanjing City

0.88 Goals Scored 1.13

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13

38% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals

Liaocheng Legend2

Beijing Technology1

TBD-

Ningbo Professional-

TBD-

Chongqing Tonglianglong-

Qingdao Fuli0

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai2

TBD-

Changchun Yatai-

TBD-

Qingdao West Coast-

Dalian Kewei2

Wenzhou Professional0

TBD-

Nantong Zhiyun-

TBD-

Liaoning Tieren-

Wuhan Lianzhen1

Xiamen Feilu0

TBD-

Guangdong GZ-Power-

TBD-

Beijing Guoan-

Chongqing Handa0

Qingdao Red Lions1

TBD-

Nanjing City-

TBD-

Wuhan Three Towns-

Hubei Istar1

Nantong Haimen0

TBD-

Guangxi Hengchen-

TBD-

Shandong Taishan-

Guizhou Xufengtang2

Taian Tiankuang1

TBD-

Shijiazhuang Gongfu-

TBD-

Shanghai Shenhua-

Yunnan Cuanhe0

Guangzhou Dandelion1

TBD-

Wuxi Wugou-

TBD-

Qingdao Hainiu-

Yulin Miners2

Ganzhou Ruishi0

TBD-

Suzhou Dongwu-

TBD-

Yunnan Yukun-

Shanghai Zetian4

Changchun Xidu2

TBD-

Dingnan Ganlian-

TBD-

Chengdu Rongcheng-

Quanzhou Qinggong0

Jiangxi Lushan7

TBD-

Dalian Kun City-

TBD-

Henan Songshan Longmen-

Ningxia Pingluo0

Hangzhou Linping2

TBD-

Foshan Nanshi-

TBD-

Dalian Yingbo-

Guangdong Shudihong1

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic4

TBD-

Meizhou Hakka-

TBD-

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger-

Xiamen Chengyi0

Shenzhen 20281

TBD-

Shaanxi Union-

TBD-

Zhejiang Professional-

Shanghai Second1

Guangdong Mingtu0

TBD-

Yanbian Longding-

TBD-

Shanghai Port-

Beijing Pengrui2

Guizhou Guiyang1

TBD-

Shenzhen Juniors-

TBD-

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng-

1/32-finals

Liaocheng Legend1

Ningbo Professional4

TBD-

Chongqing Tonglianglong-

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai2

Changchun Yatai1

TBD-

Qingdao West Coast-

Dalian Kewei2

Nantong Zhiyun1

TBD-

Liaoning Tieren-

Wuhan Lianzhen0

Guangdong GZ-Power1

TBD-

Beijing Guoan-

Qingdao Red Lions1

Nanjing City0

TBD-

Wuhan Three Towns-

Hubei Istar0

Guangxi Hengchen4

TBD-

Shandong Taishan-

Guizhou Xufengtang0

Shijiazhuang Gongfu1

TBD-

Shanghai Shenhua-

Guangzhou Dandelion0

Wuxi Wugou2

TBD-

Qingdao Hainiu-

Yulin Miners0

Suzhou Dongwu2

TBD-

Yunnan Yukun-

Shanghai Zetian4

Dingnan Ganlian2

TBD-

Chengdu Rongcheng-

Jiangxi Lushan2

Dalian Kun City0

TBD-

Henan Songshan Longmen-

Hangzhou Linping1

Foshan Nanshi0

TBD-

Dalian Yingbo-

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic2

Meizhou Hakka1

TBD-

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger-

Shenzhen 20280

Shaanxi Union2

TBD-

Zhejiang Professional-

Shanghai Second1

Yanbian Longding0

TBD-

Shanghai Port-

Beijing Pengrui0

Shenzhen Juniors1

TBD-

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng-

1/16-finals

Ningbo Professional0

Chongqing Tonglianglong2

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1

Qingdao West Coast2

Dalian Kewei1

Liaoning Tieren0

Guangdong GZ-Power1

Beijing Guoan2

Qingdao Red Lions0

Wuhan Three Towns1

Guangxi Hengchen0

Shandong Taishan5

Shijiazhuang Gongfu0

Shanghai Shenhua2

Wuxi Wugou2

Qingdao Hainiu3

Suzhou Dongwu2

Yunnan Yukun4

Shanghai Zetian0

Chengdu Rongcheng4

Jiangxi Lushan0

Henan Songshan Longmen2

Hangzhou Linping1

Dalian Yingbo2

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic2

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1

Shaanxi Union2

Zhejiang Professional1

Shanghai Second1

Shanghai Port2

Shenzhen Juniors1

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng3

1/8-finals

Chongqing Tonglianglong-

Qingdao West Coast-

Dalian Kewei-

Beijing Guoan-

Wuhan Three Towns-

Shandong Taishan-

Shanghai Shenhua-

Qingdao Hainiu-

Yunnan Yukun-

Chengdu Rongcheng-

Henan Songshan Longmen-

Dalian Yingbo-

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic-

Shaanxi Union-

Shanghai Port-

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng-

Quarter-finals

TBD-

Semi-finals

TBD-

Final

TBD-