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Qingdao West Coast vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

China China

Super League Qingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Song Haoyu
46'
Sub
Ghojaehmet Shahzat In: Ademi A.
Out: Ghojaehmet Shahzat
50'
Meng Jingchao

AI Match Summary

Qingdao West Coast in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Qingdao West Coast.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Qingdao West Coast
30%
Draws
34%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Qingdao West Coast

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shenzhen Xinpengcheng lately — more wins on the board than Qingdao West Coast.
  • Model gives Qingdao West Coast a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Qingdao West Coast Clean Sheet 13%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qingdao West Coast Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 12 3
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Qingdao West Coast
3:0
Mar 21, 2026 Super League
Qingdao West Coast vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Qingdao West Coast
1:2
May 6, 2025 Super League
Qingdao West Coast vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
0:0
Sep 22, 2024 Super League
Qingdao West Coast vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qingdao West Coast Compare

Top Goalscorer Davidson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qingdao West Coast 35 / 100
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qingdao West Coast Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Qingdao West Coast scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Qingdao West Coast went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Qingdao West Coast VS Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng19134239:1843
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1877422:2028
3Yunnan Yukun1974836:3525
4Dalian Yingbo1781825:3125
5Qingdao West Coast19510423:2925
6Shandong Taishan1893634:3124
7Beijing Guoan1876530:2422
8Liaoning Tieren1863925:3021
9Zhejiang Professional1874726:3120
10Shenzhen Xinpengcheng18621025:3120
11Shanghai Shenhua1785436:2719
12Henan Songshan Longmen1873823:2318
13Shanghai Port1856728:2616
14Qingdao Hainiu19631030:3614
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1746722:228
16Wuhan Three Towns1727824:348