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Qizilqum vs Bunyodkor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi, Navoiy
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
3 - 0
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Qizilqum host Bunyodkor in the Super League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Qizilqum have averaged 1.19 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Bunyodkor's 1.03 scored and 1.72 conceded. Past meetings favor Qizilqum slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 2, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.06) point toward Qizilqum. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Qizilqum
15%
Draws
21%
Bunyodkor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Qizilqum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Qizilqum have won more games recently than Bunyodkor.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Qizilqum taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Qizilqum Clean Sheet 68%
Bunyodkor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qizilqum Bunyodkor
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 4 2
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.19 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Super League
Qizilqum vs Bunyodkor
3:0
Aug 22, 2025 Super League
Qizilqum vs Bunyodkor
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Qizilqum
0:0
Aug 2, 2024 Super League
Qizilqum vs Bunyodkor
1:0
Mar 2, 2024 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Qizilqum
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qizilqum 95 / 100
Bunyodkor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qizilqum Bunyodkor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qizilqum Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qizilqum's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bunyodkor conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Qizilqum has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Qizilqum VS Bunyodkor
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Qizilqum

(Home)
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3
Qizilqum
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0
Qizilqum
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2
Buxoro
26 Aug
Qizilqum
1 : 0
Nasaf Qarshi
18 Aug
Sogdiana
2 : 1
Qizilqum
Page 1 of 6

Bunyodkor

(Away)
09 Oct
Pakhtakor
3 : 1
Bunyodkor
19 Sept
Bunyodkor
2 : 1
Buxoro
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0
Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Termez Surkhon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 23 16 4 3 52:19 52
2 Pakhtakor 23 15 7 1 42:21 52
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Nasaf Qarshi 23 10 7 6 35:22 37
5 Buxoro 23 11 4 8 35:31 37
6 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
7 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
8 Din. Samarkand 23 8 6 9 34:36 30
9 Andijan 23 9 3 11 29:31 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Kokand 1912 23 5 8 10 22:30 23
14 Xorazm Urganch 23 5 7 11 20:34 22
15 Bunyodkor 23 7 1 15 23:39 22
16 Mashal Muborak 23 1 1 21 11:47 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)