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Qizilqum vs Navbahor Namangan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi, Navoiy
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Qizilqum host Navbahor Namangan in the Super League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Navbahor Namangan have shipped 0.96 goals a game lately, while Qizilqum have conceded 1.46 and scored 1.18. Head-to-head, Qizilqum have won 1 to Navbahor Namangan's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 23, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.25 - 1.50) back Navbahor Namangan to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Qizilqum
35%
Draws
31%
Navbahor Namangan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Navbahor Namangan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Qizilqum are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Qizilqum Clean Sheet 16%
Navbahor Namangan Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qizilqum Navbahor Namangan
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 14
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.18 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.46 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Qizilqum
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Qizilqum
1:0
May 4, 2025 Super League
Qizilqum vs Navbahor Namangan
3:2
Nov 22, 2024 Super League
Qizilqum vs Navbahor Namangan
1:5
Jun 20, 2024 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Qizilqum
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qizilqum 36 / 100
Navbahor Namangan 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qizilqum Navbahor Namangan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Qizilqum scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Navbahor Namangan has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Qizilqum has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Qizilqum VS Navbahor Namangan
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Qizilqum

(Home)
15 Oct
Andijan
0 : 1
Qizilqum
10 Oct
Qizilqum
0 : 0
Termez Surkhon
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3
Qizilqum
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0
Qizilqum
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2
Buxoro
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Navbahor Namangan

(Away)
17 Oct
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
11 Oct
OKMK
2 : 2
Navbahor Namangan
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2
Din. Samarkand
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4
Navbahor Namangan
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 24 17 4 3 56:21 55
2 Pakhtakor 24 15 8 1 43:22 53
3 Navbahor Namangan 24 13 7 4 42:24 46
4 Buxoro 24 12 4 8 37:32 40
5 Lok. Tashkent 24 11 6 7 39:30 39
6 OKMK 24 11 6 7 34:31 39
7 Nasaf Qarshi 24 10 8 6 35:22 38
8 Qizilqum 24 10 3 11 24:30 33
9 Din. Samarkand 24 8 6 10 35:38 30
10 Andijan 24 9 3 12 29:32 30
11 Sogdiana 24 8 5 11 41:47 29
12 Termez Surkhon 24 7 7 10 19:28 28
13 Kokand 1912 24 5 8 11 24:34 23
14 Xorazm Urganch 24 5 8 11 20:34 23
15 Bunyodkor 24 7 2 15 24:40 23
16 Mashal Muborak 24 1 1 22 11:48 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)