Sport Picks
Qizilqum vs Termez Surkhon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi, Navoiy 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Ashuboyev T. In: Yusupov K.
Out: Ashuboyev T.
60'
60'
Sub
Ramazonov D. In: Uktamov B.
Out: Ramazonov D.
60'
60'
Sub
Kodirov F. In: Abdukhamidov S.
Out: Kodirov F.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Qizilqum
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Qizilqum at 1.19 per game, Termez Surkhon at 0.89.
- Win probability leans Qizilqum's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Qizilqum Clean Sheet 68%
Termez Surkhon Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Qizilqum | Termez Surkhon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 0.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 Super League
Qizilqum vs Termez Surkhon
0:0
Apr 17, 2026 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Qizilqum
0:1
Aug 3, 2025 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Qizilqum
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 Super League
Qizilqum vs Termez Surkhon
2:0
Aug 12, 2024 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Qizilqum
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Qizilqum 59 / 100
Termez Surkhon 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Qizilqum Termez Surkhon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Qizilqum Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Qizilqum scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.
Termez Surkhon has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: Qizilqum remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Games between these two average 0.80 goals.
Scoring Trends
Qizilqum VS Termez Surkhon
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Qizilqum
(Home) 21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3 Qizilqum
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0 Qizilqum
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2 Buxoro
26 Aug
Qizilqum
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
18 Aug
Sogdiana
2 : 1 Qizilqum
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2 Buxoro
26 Aug
Qizilqum
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
14 Aug
Qizilqum
2 : 0 Mashal Muborak
02 Aug
Qizilqum
3 : 0 Bunyodkor
18 Jul
Qizilqum
1 : 2 Din. Samarkand
Page 1 of 3
Termez Surkhon
(Away) 20 Sept
Termez Surkhon
1 : 0 Kokand 1912
09 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1 Termez Surkhon
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Termez Surkhon
29 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 1 PFK Guliston
25 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0 OKMK
Page 1 of 6
09 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1 Termez Surkhon
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Termez Surkhon
21 Aug
Pakhtakor
0 : 0 Termez Surkhon
03 Aug
Kokand 1912
0 : 1 Termez Surkhon
28 Jul
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 0 Termez Surkhon
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 42:21 | 52 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Nasaf Qarshi | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35:22 | 37 |
| 5 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35:31 | 37 |
| 6 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 7 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:36 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 29:31 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23:30 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:28 | 26 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 22:30 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20:34 | 22 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 23:39 | 22 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 23 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11:47 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
