Sport Picks
QLD State Team U17 vs Moreton City Excelsior U23
Australia
NPL Queensland U23 
AI Match Summary
QLD State Team U17 in this NPL Queensland U23 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored QLD State Team U17.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moreton City Excelsior U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Moreton City Excelsior U23 lately — more wins on the board than QLD State Team U17.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular NPL Queensland U23 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
QLD State Team U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Moreton City Excelsior U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | QLD State Team U17 | Moreton City Excelsior U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 22 | 25 |
| Wins | 8 | 15 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.09 | 2.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.59 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
QLD State Team U17 vs Moreton City Excelsior U23
4:3
Jul 14, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Moreton City Excelsior U23 vs QLD State Team U17
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
QLD State Team U17 30 / 100
Moreton City Excelsior U23 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
QLD State Team U17 Moreton City Excelsior U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
QLD State Team U17 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (22 games).
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Moreton City Excelsior U23 conceded in 76% of 25 recent games.
Recent resilience: QLD State Team U17 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
QLD State Team U17 VS Moreton City Excelsior U23
2.38 Goals Scored 2.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
QLD State Team U17
(Home) 16 Aug
QLD State Team U17
3 : 4 Gold Coast Knights SC U23
08 Aug
Queensland Lions U23
2 : 1 QLD State Team U17
02 Aug
QLD State Team U17
4 : 3 Moreton City Excelsior U23
19 Jul
Olympic FC U23
1 : 2 QLD State Team U17
14 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior U23
1 : 0 QLD State Team U17
Page 1 of 5
16 Aug
QLD State Team U17
3 : 4 Gold Coast Knights SC U23
02 Aug
QLD State Team U17
4 : 3 Moreton City Excelsior U23
12 Jul
QLD State Team U17
1 : 3 Rochedale U23
01 Jul
QLD State Team U17
3 : 4 Peninsula U23
25 Jun
QLD State Team U17
2 : 1 Eastern Suburbs U23
Page 1 of 3
Moreton City Excelsior U23
(Away) 13 Sept
Rochedale U23
2 : 0 Moreton City Excelsior U23
06 Sept
Moreton City Excelsior U23
3 : 1 Gold Coast Knights SC U23
28 Aug
Rochedale U23
3 : 1 Moreton City Excelsior U23
16 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior U23
3 : 2 Queensland Lions U23
08 Aug
Olympic FC U23
1 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior U23
Page 1 of 5
13 Sept
Rochedale U23
2 : 0 Moreton City Excelsior U23
28 Aug
Rochedale U23
3 : 1 Moreton City Excelsior U23
08 Aug
Olympic FC U23
1 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior U23
02 Aug
QLD State Team U17
4 : 3 Moreton City Excelsior U23
04 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC U23
1 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior U23
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rochedale U23 | 22 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 61:27 | 50 |
| 2 | Moreton City Excelsior U23 | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 60:31 | 44 |
| 3 | Queensland Lions U23 | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 52:24 | 44 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights SC U23 | 22 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 58:39 | 43 |
| 5 | Gold Coast U23 | 22 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 52:45 | 41 |
| 6 | Eastern Suburbs U23 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 43:32 | 31 |
| 7 | QLD State Team U17 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 46:57 | 25 |
| 8 | Brisbane City U23 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 42:54 | 24 |
| 9 | Olympic FC U23 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 35:55 | 23 |
| 10 | Wynnum Wolves U23 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 29:52 | 21 |
| 11 | Peninsula U23 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 36:57 | 20 |
| 12 | Magic United TFA FC U23 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 27:68 | 16 |
Promotion - NPL Queensland U23 (Play Offs)
