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Qormi vs Tarxien - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Eduardo Rosado
64' Event
Debono J.
90' Event
Bonavia L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Tarxien advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Qormi
15%
Draws
85%
Tarxien
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tarxien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Tarxien carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tarxien are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Tarxien arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tarxien, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tarxien have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Qormi Clean Sheet 25%
Tarxien Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qormi Tarxien
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 1 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.67 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.79 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2021 FA Trophy
Qormi vs Tarxien
0:3
Mar 14, 2019 Premier League
Qormi vs Tarxien
1:2
Oct 27, 2018 Premier League
Tarxien vs Qormi
1:0
Mar 12, 2016 Premier League
Tarxien vs Qormi
6:1
Feb 5, 2016 Premier League
Tarxien vs Qormi
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qormi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Tarxien Compare

Top Goalscorer Eduardo Rosado
1 Goals
Assists Leader Debono J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qormi 10 / 100
Tarxien 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qormi Tarxien

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tarxien Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tarxien let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Qormi scored in 46% of their last 24 games.

Away concern: Tarxien has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tarxien
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Qormi

(Home)
07 Dec
Qormi
1 : 4
Balzan FC
07 Mar
Zebbug
6 : 2
Qormi
27 Feb
Qormi
0 : 3
St. Andrews
20 Feb
San Gwann
5 : 2
Qormi
15 Feb
Qormi
1 : 5
Marsa
Page 1 of 5

Tarxien

(Away)
20 Sept
Tarxien
3 : 1
Attard
13 Sept
Mgarr
1 : 3
Tarxien
10 May
Zabbar
2 : 0
Tarxien
05 May
Zabbar
2 : 3
Tarxien
30 Apr
Tarxien
2 : 1
Sliema
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Gzira -
TBD -
Mqabba FC 5
San Gwann 3
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarxien -
Ghajnsielem 3
Pieta 1
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Vittoriosa 0
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Lija -
Naxxar Lions 2
Qrendi 0
TBD -
Swieqi -
St. Andrews 1
Zurrieq 0
TBD -
Sliema -
St. George's FC 1
Pembroke 3
Marsaxlokk 3
Victoria Wanderers 0
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Zejtun -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosta FC -
Birzebbuga 2
Siggiewi 1
TBD -
Xaghra -
Sannat Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
Nadur 3
Msida 1
TBD -
Senglea -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Oratory 1
Zebbug 8
Kercem Ajax 0
Marsa 3
Sirens -
TBD -
Xewkija 0
Fgura 3
1/16-finals
Gzira 8
Mqabba FC 0
Qormi 0
Tarxien 3
Ghajnsielem 2
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Birkirkara 6
Lija 0
Naxxar Lions 6
Swieqi 1
St. Andrews 1
Sliema 0
Pembroke 4
Marsaxlokk 2
Hibernians 3
Zejtun 0
Floriana 1
Santa Lucia 3
Balzan FC 1
Mosta FC 3
Birzebbuga 1
Xaghra 4
Sannat Lions 1
Hamrun 3
Nadur 2
Senglea 3
Valletta 2
Gudja 1
Zebbug 0
Marsa 1
Sirens 5
Fgura 0
1/8-finals
Gzira 4
Tarxien 2
Ghajnsielem 1
Birkirkara 4
Naxxar Lions 0
St. Andrews 1
Pembroke 0
Hibernians 1
Santa Lucia 0
Mosta FC 2
Xaghra 0
Hamrun 6
Senglea 0
Valletta 1
Marsa 0
Sirens 1
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -