Sport Picks

Stadium Background

QPR U21 vs Cardiff U21

England England

Premier League Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Logan C.
Assist: Pearman J.
18' Event
Bennie D.
50' Event
Perrett T.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
QPR U21
20%
Draws
57%
Cardiff U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cardiff U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Cardiff U21 have won more games recently than QPR U21.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Cardiff U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor QPR U21, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
QPR U21 Clean Sheet 13%
Cardiff U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric QPR U21 Cardiff U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.84 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.64
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2026 Professional Development League
QPR U21 vs Cardiff U21
1:0
Dec 12, 2025 Premier League Cup
Cardiff U21 vs QPR U21
3:1
Nov 4, 2025 Professional Development League
Cardiff U21 vs QPR U21
2:3
Oct 24, 2025 Premier League Cup
QPR U21 vs Cardiff U21
2:2
Apr 22, 2025 Professional Development League
QPR U21 vs Cardiff U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

QPR U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Logan C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bennie D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Cardiff U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mafico D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

QPR U21 35 / 100
Cardiff U21 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
QPR U21 Cardiff U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardiff U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardiff U21 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

QPR U21 scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

QPR U21 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

QPR U21 VS Cardiff U21
2 Goals Scored 1.13
2.14 Goals Conceded 2
86% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 63%
71% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

QPR U21

(Home)
13 Sept
QPR U21
4 : 1
Fleetwood Town U21
09 Sept
Blackburn U21
4 : 2
QPR U21
01 Sept
Huddersfield U21
3 : 1
QPR U21
25 Aug
QPR U21
3 : 3
Hull City U21
18 Aug
Peterborough U21
2 : 0
QPR U21
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Cardiff U21

(Away)
07 Sept
Plymouth U21
2 : 3
Cardiff U21
01 Sept
Cardiff U21
0 : 0
Sheffield Wed U21
25 Aug
Wigan U21
2 : 5
Cardiff U21
18 Aug
Cardiff U21
1 : 2
Barnsley U21
14 Aug
Cardiff U21
4 : 1
Bournemouth U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reading U21 6 5 0 1 10:3 15
2 Bournemouth U21 6 3 2 1 15:10 11
3 Hull City U21 6 2 0 4 12:12 6
4 Birmingham U21 6 0 2 4 5:17 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Utd U21 6 6 0 0 14:7 18
2 Stoke City U21 6 1 3 2 10:12 6
3 Derby U21 6 1 2 3 15:12 5
4 Bristol City U21 6 1 1 4 10:18 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipswich U21 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Charlton U21 6 3 1 2 9:14 10
3 Leicester U21 6 2 0 4 11:9 6
4 Preston U21 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watford U21 6 3 1 2 12:10 10
2 Blackburn U21 6 2 2 2 10:8 8
3 Leyton Orient U21 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
4 Coventry U21 6 1 3 2 7:10 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U21 6 4 1 1 13:10 13
2 Brentford U21 6 4 0 2 16:5 12
3 Exeter U21 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
4 Luton U21 6 1 0 5 8:19 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burnley U21 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 QPR U21 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
3 Cardiff U21 6 2 1 3 15:12 7
4 Stockport U21 6 2 0 4 11:17 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nottingham U21 6 5 1 0 10:3 16
2 Swansea U21 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
3 Wolves U21 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
4 Millwall U21 6 0 1 5 7:17 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colchester U21 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
2 Sunderland U21 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
3 Bromley U21 6 3 0 3 7:11 9
4 Norwich U21 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)