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QPR vs Stevenage

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Dembele K.
30' Event
Chair I.
32' Event
Richards T.

AI Match Summary

QPR in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored QPR.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
QPR
15%
Draws
39%
Stevenage
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: QPR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • QPR haven't matched Stevenage's recent run of results.
  • QPR are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
QPR Clean Sheet 20%
Stevenage Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric QPR Stevenage
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.55 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
QPR vs Stevenage
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

QPR Compare

Top Goalscorer Dembele K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chair I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Stevenage Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

QPR 85 / 100
Stevenage 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
QPR Stevenage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QPR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

QPR's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

QPR went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Stevenage has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

QPR VS Stevenage
2.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

QPR

(Home)
15 Aug
Portsmouth
1 : 3
QPR
08 Aug
QPR
1 : 2
Millwall
01 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 3
QPR
31 Jul
Bromley
0 : 7
QPR
25 Jul
QPR
3 : 2
Fiorentina
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Stevenage

(Away)
15 Aug
Burton
1 : 1
Stevenage
07 Aug
Wycombe
1 : 2
Stevenage
01 Aug
Stevenage
1 : 0
Colchester
25 Jul
Stevenage
1 : 0
Millwall
22 Jul
Stevenage
0 : 5
West Ham
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