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Qrendi vs Marsaskala FC

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2022/2023
Qrendi Logo

Qrendi

2 - 3
FT
Marsaskala FC Logo

Marsaskala FC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Marsaskala FC in this Challenge League 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marsaskala FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Qrendi
30%
Draws
29%
Marsaskala FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Qrendi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Qrendi have won more games recently than Marsaskala FC.
  • Model gives Qrendi a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Challenge League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Qrendi Clean Sheet 10%
Marsaskala FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qrendi Marsaskala FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.33 1.73
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2023 Challenge League
Marsaskala FC vs Qrendi
1:3
Dec 15, 2022 Challenge League
Qrendi vs Marsaskala FC
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qrendi 47 / 100
Marsaskala FC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qrendi Marsaskala FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qrendi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marsaskala FC let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Solid form: Qrendi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Qrendi found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Qrendi VS Marsaskala FC
2 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Qrendi

(Home)
05 Feb
Mosta FC
4 : 0
Qrendi
10 Jan
Sirens
0 : 2
Qrendi
23 Apr
Qrendi
2 : 2
Marsa
16 Apr
Marsaskala FC
1 : 3
Qrendi
05 Apr
Qrendi
1 : 2
Fgura
Page 1 of 6

Marsaskala FC

(Away)
14 Jan
Sliema
3 : 0
Marsaskala FC
22 Apr
St. Andrews
2 : 2
Marsaskala FC
16 Apr
Marsaskala FC
1 : 3
Qrendi
11 Apr
Attard
2 : 2
Marsaskala FC
01 Apr
Marsaskala FC
3 : 1
Vittoriosa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sliema 17 15 2 0 40:10 47
2 Naxxar Lions 17 13 2 2 40:15 41
3 Zejtun 17 11 0 6 35:22 33
4 Tarxien 17 9 5 3 34:19 32
5 Zurrieq 17 9 2 6 33:28 29
6 Melita 17 7 5 5 29:22 26
7 Fgura 17 7 4 6 41:25 25
8 Marsa 17 6 6 5 27:23 24
9 Swieqi 17 6 6 5 33:31 24
10 St. Andrews 17 6 4 7 23:27 22
11 Lija 17 5 5 7 28:32 20
12 Attard 17 5 4 8 19:30 19
13 San Gwann 17 5 3 9 20:34 18
14 Marsaskala FC 17 4 3 10 28:39 15
15 Mqabba FC 17 4 3 10 21:36 15
16 Qrendi 17 3 5 9 19:36 14
17 Mtarfa 17 4 2 11 11:28 14
18 Vittoriosa 17 3 1 13 14:38 10
Promotion - Challenge League 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Challenge League 2022/2023 (Relegation Group)