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Qrendi vs Swieqi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2022/2023
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Match Events

38' Event

AI Match Summary

Swieqi in this Challenge League 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Swieqi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Qrendi
30%
Draws
37%
Swieqi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Swieqi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Swieqi lately — more wins on the board than Qrendi.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Qrendi taking it.
  • Regular Challenge League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Qrendi Clean Sheet 10%
Swieqi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qrendi Swieqi
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 9 24
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.33 2.2
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2023 Challenge League
Qrendi vs Swieqi
0:1
Nov 13, 2022 Challenge League
Swieqi vs Qrendi
1:1
Mar 12, 2022 Challenge League
Qrendi vs Swieqi
1:1
Dec 3, 2021 Challenge League
Swieqi vs Qrendi
1:3
Jan 6, 2021 Challenge League
Qrendi vs Swieqi
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qrendi 34 / 100
Swieqi 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qrendi Swieqi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Swieqi conceded in 76% of 41 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Qrendi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Qrendi found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Swieqi
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Qrendi

(Home)
05 Feb
Mosta FC
4 : 0
Qrendi
10 Jan
Sirens
0 : 2
Qrendi
23 Apr
Qrendi
2 : 2
Marsa
16 Apr
Marsaskala FC
1 : 3
Qrendi
05 Apr
Qrendi
1 : 2
Fgura
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Swieqi

(Away)
18 Sept
Swieqi
3 : 2
Pieta
12 Sept
Attard
3 : 3
Swieqi
23 Apr
Swieqi
1 : 2
Birzebbuga
19 Apr
Swieqi
1 : 1
Fgura
11 Apr
St. Andrews
0 : 1
Swieqi
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