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Qrendi vs Vittoriosa

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2022/2023
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Challenge League 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Qrendi
20%
Draws
40%
Vittoriosa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Qrendi have won more games recently than Vittoriosa.
  • Qrendi are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Challenge League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Qrendi Clean Sheet 19%
Vittoriosa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qrendi Vittoriosa
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.33 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2023 Challenge League
Qrendi vs Vittoriosa
2:2
Sep 3, 2022 Challenge League
Vittoriosa vs Qrendi
1:0
Mar 14, 2021 Challenge League
Qrendi vs Vittoriosa
0:0
Nov 29, 2020 Challenge League
Vittoriosa vs Qrendi
1:1
Jan 31, 2020 Challenge League
Qrendi vs Vittoriosa
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qrendi 36 / 100
Vittoriosa 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qrendi Vittoriosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vittoriosa conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Qrendi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Qrendi scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vittoriosa
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Qrendi

(Home)
05 Feb
Mosta FC
4 : 0
Qrendi
10 Jan
Sirens
0 : 2
Qrendi
23 Apr
Qrendi
2 : 2
Marsa
16 Apr
Marsaskala FC
1 : 3
Qrendi
05 Apr
Qrendi
1 : 2
Fgura
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Vittoriosa

(Away)
19 Sept
Vittoriosa
2 : 0
Gudja
12 Sept
Santa Lucia
0 : 0
Vittoriosa
18 Apr
Vittoriosa
2 : 3
Gudja
11 Apr
Vittoriosa
0 : 1
Zebbug
01 Apr
Mtarfa
0 : 1
Vittoriosa
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