Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Quang Ninh vs Ho Chi Minh City

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Quang Ninh play Ho Chi Minh City in the V.League 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Quang Ninh averaged 1 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Ho Chi Minh City averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Quang Ninh won 1, Ho Chi Minh City won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Quang Ninh and 1.44 for Ho Chi Minh City. This points to a Ho Chi Minh City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Quang Ninh
33%
Draws
40%
Ho Chi Minh City
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ho Chi Minh City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Ho Chi Minh City has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Quang Ninh.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Ho Chi Minh City.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in V.League 2 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Quang Ninh Clean Sheet 16%
Ho Chi Minh City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quang Ninh Ho Chi Minh City
Matches Played 23 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 V.League 2
Quang Ninh vs Ho Chi Minh City
3:1
Nov 8, 2025 V.League 2
Ho Chi Minh City vs Quang Ninh
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quang Ninh Compare

Top Goalscorer Hieu B. V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nguyen V. D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ho Chi Minh City Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Hung Thien Duc
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quang Ninh 28 / 100
Ho Chi Minh City 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quang Ninh Ho Chi Minh City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Quang Ninh scored in 57% of their last 23 games.

Ho Chi Minh City let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Quang Ninh went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ho Chi Minh City lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Quang Ninh VS Ho Chi Minh City
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Truong Tuoi Dong Nai22155247:1450
2Bac Ninh22136341:2345
3Ho Chi Minh City22115633:2238
4Quy Nhon United22105738:3135
5Xuan Thien Phu Tho2296734:3233
6PVF-CAND B2288634:2632
7Van Hien2277821:2428
8Khanh Hoa2276921:2327
9Quang Ninh2268823:2626
10Dong Thap2259816:2124
11Long An22351411:3014
12Ho Chi Minh 222141715:627
13Hoa Binh00000:00