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Quay Celtic vs Drumcondra FC

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2004/2005
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AI Match Summary

Quay Celtic in this FAI Cup 2004/2005 tie, finishing 4-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Quay Celtic
6%
Draws
4%
Drumcondra FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Quay Celtic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Quay Celtic lately — more wins on the board than Drumcondra FC.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Quay Celtic taking it.
  • Quay Celtic have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Quay Celtic, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Quay Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
Drumcondra FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quay Celtic Drumcondra FC
Matches Played 1 5
Wins 1 0
Draws 0 1
Losses 0 4
Goals Scored 4 0.8
Goals Conceded 3 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2004 FAI Cup
Quay Celtic vs Drumcondra FC
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quay Celtic 83 / 100
Drumcondra FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quay Celtic Drumcondra FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Quay Celtic scored in 100% of their last 1 outings.

Drumcondra FC let in goals in 100% of their last 5 matches.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Drumcondra FC registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Quay Celtic VS Drumcondra FC
4 Goals Scored 0.8
3 Goals Conceded 2.6
100% Over 1.5 80%
100% Over 2.5 40%
100% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Quay Celtic

(Home)
25 Jul
Quay Celtic
4 : 3
Drumcondra FC

Drumcondra FC

(Away)
25 Apr
Belgrove
1 : 0
Drumcondra FC
28 Mar
Glebe North
2 : 0
Drumcondra FC
20 Mar
Drumcondra FC
1 : 1
Glebe North
20 Aug
UC Dublin
5 : 0
Drumcondra FC
25 Jul
Quay Celtic
4 : 3
Drumcondra FC

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Waterford2
Sligo Rovers1
Bray0
Kilkenny City2
Monaghan United1
Dublin City0
Portmarnock1
Rockmount3
Kildare County4
Glebe North0
Ringmahon Rangers0
Bohemians8
Shelbourne4
Finn Harps1
Galway United0
Derry City1
Drogheda3
Dundalk2
Wayside Celtic1
St. Patricks4
Drumcondra FC3
Quay Celtic4
Cork City0
UC Dublin1
Athlone3
Tullamore0
Limerick5
Cobh Ramblers6
Shamrock Rovers3
Carrick Utd0
Leeds Cork0
Longford3
1/8-finals
Waterford7
Kilkenny City2
Monaghan United0
Rockmount2
Kildare County1
Bohemians0
Shelbourne1
Derry City2
Drogheda2
St. Patricks0
Drumcondra FC0
UC Dublin5
Athlone1
Cobh Ramblers0
Shamrock Rovers1
Longford2
Quarter-finals
Waterford4
Rockmount3
Kildare County0
Derry City1
Drogheda2
UC Dublin1
Athlone2
Longford5
Semi-finals
Waterford2
Derry City1
Drogheda1
Longford2
Final
Waterford1
Longford2