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Quebracho Villa Montes vs Universitario de Tarija

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Quebracho Villa Montes in this Nacional B 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Quebracho Villa Montes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Quebracho Villa Montes
11%
Draws
9%
Universitario de Tarija
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Quebracho Villa Montes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Quebracho Villa Montes lately — more wins on the board than Universitario de Tarija.
  • Quebracho Villa Montes are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Nacional B 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Quebracho Villa Montes Clean Sheet 16%
Universitario de Tarija Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quebracho Villa Montes Universitario de Tarija
Matches Played 34 22
Wins 18 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario de Tarija vs Quebracho Villa Montes
2:1
Feb 28, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Quebracho Villa Montes vs Universitario de Tarija
3:2
Dec 6, 2015 Copa Simon Bolivar
Quebracho Villa Montes vs Universitario de Tarija
4:0
Nov 2, 2015 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario de Tarija vs Quebracho Villa Montes
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quebracho Villa Montes 75 / 100
Universitario de Tarija 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quebracho Villa Montes Universitario de Tarija

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Quebracho Villa Montes found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (34 games).

Universitario de Tarija let in goals in 64% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Quebracho Villa Montes stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Quebracho Villa Montes VS Universitario de Tarija
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Tarija632111:911
2Em Huanuni62227:68
3Royal Pari62224:38
4Quebracho Villa Montes62045:96
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guabira651015:216
2Universitario Beni62227:108
3Aurora61323:66
4Garcia Agreda60244:112