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Queen of the South vs Airdrieonians - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League One Palmerston Park, Dumfries
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Want S.
37' Event
McLeish L.
Assist: Burnside C.
39'
Young C.

AI Match Summary

Queen of the South in this League One matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Queen of the South.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Queen of the South
15%
Draws
58%
Airdrieonians
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Airdrieonians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Queen of the South haven't matched Airdrieonians's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Airdrieonians's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Queen of the South Clean Sheet 10%
Airdrieonians Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queen of the South Airdrieonians
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.54 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 League One
Queen of the South vs Airdrieonians
2:1
Sep 7, 2024 Challenge Cup
Queen of the South vs Airdrieonians
0:3
Jul 27, 2024 League Cup
Airdrieonians vs Queen of the South
2:0
Apr 29, 2023 League One
Airdrieonians vs Queen of the South
1:3
Mar 4, 2023 League One
Queen of the South vs Airdrieonians
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queen of the South Compare

Top Goalscorer Coughlin C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader MacKenzie Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Airdrieonians Compare

Top Goalscorer McLeish L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queen of the South 10 / 100
Airdrieonians 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queen of the South Airdrieonians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Airdrieonians Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queen of the South scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Airdrieonians has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: Queen of the South remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Queen of the South VS Airdrieonians
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Queen of the South

(Home)
03 Oct
Queen of the South
4 : 3
Cove Rangers
26 Sept
Queen of the South
4 : 2
Rangers B
22 Sept
Queen of the South
1 : 1
Annan
19 Sept
Hamilton
4 : 1
Queen of the South
15 Sept
Ross County
8 : 0
Queen of the South
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Airdrieonians

(Away)
03 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Montrose
26 Sept
Airdrieonians
7 : 1
Berwick
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6
Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Peterhead
1 : 2
Airdrieonians
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Alloa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 9 8 1 0 31:5 25
2 Hamilton 9 8 1 0 21:2 25
3 East Kilbride 10 5 2 3 19:14 17
4 Montrose 10 5 0 5 13:19 15
5 Airdrieonians 10 3 4 3 9:13 13
6 Queen of the South 10 3 1 6 11:27 10
7 East Fife 10 1 6 3 8:11 9
8 Alloa 10 2 3 5 9:13 9
9 Peterhead 10 2 1 7 7:17 7
10 Cove Rangers 10 1 3 6 9:16 6
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)