Sport Picks
Queen of the South vs Alloa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
League One Palmerston Park, Dumfries 
Match Events
19'
19'
Clark N.
35'
35'
Smith L.
42'
42'
Foster O.
AI Match Summary
Alloa in this League One matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alloa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Queen of the South
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Alloa have won more games recently than Queen of the South.
- Model gives Queen of the South a 57% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Queen of the South Clean Sheet 10%
Alloa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Queen of the South | Alloa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 League One
Queen of the South vs Alloa
0:2
May 2, 2026 League One
Alloa vs Queen of the South
1:4
Feb 14, 2026 League One
Queen of the South vs Alloa
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 League One
Alloa vs Queen of the South
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 League One
Queen of the South vs Alloa
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Queen of the South Compare
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Alloa Compare
Top Goalscorer Walker J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Glasgow K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Queen of the South 83 / 100
Alloa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Queen of the South Alloa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Queen of the South Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Queen of the South scored in 86% of their last 28 games.
Alloa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Queen of the South stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Queen of the South VS Alloa
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Queen of the South
(Home) 10 Oct
Peterhead
0 : 1 Queen of the South
03 Oct
Queen of the South
4 : 3 Cove Rangers
26 Sept
Queen of the South
4 : 2 Rangers B
22 Sept
Queen of the South
1 : 1 Annan
19 Sept
Hamilton
4 : 1 Queen of the South
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Queen of the South
4 : 3 Cove Rangers
26 Sept
Queen of the South
4 : 2 Rangers B
22 Sept
Queen of the South
1 : 1 Annan
12 Sept
Queen of the South
1 : 1 East Fife
05 Sept
Queen of the South
2 : 1 Airdrieonians
Page 1 of 4
Alloa
(Away) 10 Oct
Alloa
0 : 3 Hamilton
03 Oct
Ross County
4 : 1 Alloa
26 Sept
Alloa
2 : 2 Gala Fairydean Rovers
22 Sept
Alloa
4 : 1 Hibernian B
19 Sept
Alloa
1 : 2 East Kilbride
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Ross County
4 : 1 Alloa
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0 Alloa
08 Sept
Clydebank FC
1 : 1 Alloa
05 Sept
Cove Rangers
1 : 1 Alloa
22 Aug
Queen of the South
0 : 2 Alloa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross County | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 31:5 | 25 |
| 2 | Hamilton | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:2 | 25 |
| 3 | East Kilbride | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:14 | 17 |
| 4 | Montrose | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13:19 | 15 |
| 5 | Airdrieonians | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | 13 |
| 6 | Queen of the South | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:27 | 10 |
| 7 | East Fife | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 8 | Alloa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | 9 |
| 9 | Peterhead | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:17 | 7 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:16 | 6 |
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
