Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Queen of the South vs Annan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Palmerston Park, Dumfries
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Young C.
(Penalty)
51' Event
Dixon J.
Assist: Gibson W.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Queen of the South
20%
Draws
40%
Annan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Queen of the South's 1.52 goals per match outpaces what Annan have produced (1.32).
  • Model gives Annan a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Queen of the South, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Queen of the South Clean Sheet 10%
Annan Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queen of the South Annan
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.52 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 Challenge Cup
Queen of the South vs Annan
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 League One
Annan vs Queen of the South
0:2
Dec 28, 2024 League One
Queen of the South vs Annan
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 League One
Annan vs Queen of the South
1:0
Aug 17, 2024 League One
Queen of the South vs Annan
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queen of the South Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Annan Compare

Top Goalscorer Dixon J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queen of the South 10 / 100
Annan 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queen of the South Annan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Annan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Queen of the South scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Annan has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Queen of the South went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Queen of the South VS Annan
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Queen of the South

(Home)
03 Oct
Queen of the South
4 : 3
Cove Rangers
26 Sept
Queen of the South
4 : 2
Rangers B
22 Sept
Queen of the South
1 : 1
Annan
19 Sept
Hamilton
4 : 1
Queen of the South
15 Sept
Ross County
8 : 0
Queen of the South
Page 1 of 6

Annan

(Away)
03 Oct
Annan
0 : 1
Stirling
26 Sept
Annan
2 : 1
Hibernian B
22 Sept
Queen of the South
1 : 1
Annan
19 Sept
Forfar Athletic
1 : 0
Annan
12 Sept
Annan
2 : 0
Elgin City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Ross County 5 4 0 1 28:6 12
3 Airdrieonians 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
4 Elgin City 5 4 0 1 14:2 12
5 Cove Rangers 5 4 0 1 17:6 12
6 Peterhead 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
7 Alloa 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
8 Queen of the South 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
9 East Kilbride 5 3 1 1 17:12 10
10 Stirling 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
11 Edinburgh City 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
12 St. Mirren B 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
13 Hamilton 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
14 Montrose 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
15 Celtic B 5 2 3 0 15:12 9
16 Formartine Utd 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
17 Kelty Hearts 5 3 0 2 14:13 9
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
19 Hearts B 5 3 0 2 15:26 9
20 Annan 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
21 Spartans 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
22 Aberdeen B 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
23 East Fife 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
24 Forfar Athletic 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
25 Berwick 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
26 Dumbarton 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
27 Stranraer 5 2 0 3 13:12 6
28 Rangers B 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
29 Clachnacuddin 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
30 Kilmarnock B 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
31 Banks O' Dee 5 1 1 3 6:14 4
32 Fraserburgh 5 1 1 3 5:18 4
33 Clyde 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
34 Dundee Utd B 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
35 Cumbernauld Colts 5 0 2 3 4:13 2
36 Gala Fairydean Rovers 5 0 2 3 3:15 2
37 Cowdenbeath 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
38 Dundee FC B 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
39 Hibernian B 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
40 Motherwell B 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)