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Queen of the South vs Clyde

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup 2025/2026 Palmerston Park
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Guthrie K.
Assist: Smith L.
46' Event
Leitch R.
72' Event
Guthrie K.
Assist: Charters T.

AI Match Summary

Queen of the South in this Challenge Cup 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Queen of the South.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Queen of the South
20%
Draws
38%
Clyde
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Queen of the South

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Clyde at 1.25 per game, Queen of the South at 0.63.
  • Model gives Queen of the South a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Queen of the South Clean Sheet 20%
Clyde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queen of the South Clyde
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2025 Challenge Cup
Queen of the South vs Clyde
3:1
Jun 25, 2024 Club Friendly
Queen of the South vs Clyde
1:3
Mar 11, 2023 League One
Clyde vs Queen of the South
1:1
Dec 31, 2022 League One
Queen of the South vs Clyde
1:0
Oct 22, 2022 League One
Clyde vs Queen of the South
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queen of the South Compare

Top Goalscorer Guthrie K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Charters T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Clyde Compare

Top Goalscorer Leitch R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queen of the South 42 / 100
Clyde 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queen of the South Clyde

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queen of the South scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Clyde let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Away concern: Clyde has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Queen of the South VS Clyde
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inverness660026:418
2Stenhousemuir660018:218
3Montrose651018:916
4East Fife641117:913
5Stranraer641112:613
6East Kilbride640213:1112
7Forfar Athletic640210:812
8Edinburgh City640211:1012
9Spartans632114:811
10Elgin City632111:911
11Dumbarton632110:811
12Annan631215:1010
13Alloa631217:1410
14Kelty Hearts63129:610
15Clyde631214:1210
16Queen of the South631212:1010
17Hamilton631213:89
18Stirling63039:99
19Cove Rangers62229:68
20Peterhead622210:108
21Celtic B620412:156
22Hearts B62049:146
23Hibernian B612311:145
24St. Mirren B61149:154
25Dundee Utd B61055:183
26Aberdeen B60159:201
27Motherwell B60152:171
28Rangers B60066:160
29Kilmarnock B60063:190
30Dundee FC B60064:210