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Queen of the South vs Cumbernauld Colts - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Palmerston Park, Dumfries
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Coughlin C.
Assist: Clark N.
15' Event
Smith L.
Assist: Dair B.
27' Event
Coughlin C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Queen of the South
20%
Draws
33%
Cumbernauld Colts
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Queen of the South

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cumbernauld Colts lately — more wins on the board than Queen of the South.
  • Model gives Queen of the South a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Cumbernauld Colts arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Queen of the South, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Queen of the South Clean Sheet 68%
Cumbernauld Colts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queen of the South Cumbernauld Colts
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.5 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Challenge Cup
Queen of the South vs Cumbernauld Colts
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queen of the South Compare

Top Goalscorer Coughlin C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Smith L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Cumbernauld Colts Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queen of the South 77 / 100
Cumbernauld Colts 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queen of the South Cumbernauld Colts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Queen of the South Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Queen of the South scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Cumbernauld Colts conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Queen of the South has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Queen of the South VS Cumbernauld Colts
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Queen of the South

(Home)
10 Oct
Peterhead
0 : 1
Queen of the South
03 Oct
Queen of the South
4 : 3
Cove Rangers
26 Sept
Queen of the South
4 : 2
Rangers B
22 Sept
Queen of the South
1 : 1
Annan
19 Sept
Hamilton
4 : 1
Queen of the South
Page 1 of 6

Cumbernauld Colts

(Away)
03 Oct
Haddington Athletic
0 : 2
Cumbernauld Colts
26 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
2 : 4
St. Mirren B
22 Sept
Stirling
1 : 1
Cumbernauld Colts
19 Sept
Albion Rovers
2 : 1
Cumbernauld Colts
15 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
3 : 2
Gretna 2008
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Ross County 5 4 0 1 28:6 12
3 Airdrieonians 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
4 Elgin City 5 4 0 1 14:2 12
5 Cove Rangers 5 4 0 1 17:6 12
6 Peterhead 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
7 Alloa 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
8 Queen of the South 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
9 East Kilbride 5 3 1 1 17:12 10
10 Stirling 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
11 Edinburgh City 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
12 St. Mirren B 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
13 Hamilton 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
14 Montrose 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
15 Celtic B 5 2 3 0 15:12 9
16 Formartine Utd 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
17 Kelty Hearts 5 3 0 2 14:13 9
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
19 Hearts B 5 3 0 2 15:26 9
20 Annan 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
21 Spartans 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
22 Aberdeen B 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
23 East Fife 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
24 Forfar Athletic 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
25 Berwick 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
26 Dumbarton 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
27 Stranraer 5 2 0 3 13:12 6
28 Rangers B 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
29 Clachnacuddin 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
30 Kilmarnock B 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
31 Banks O' Dee 5 1 1 3 6:14 4
32 Fraserburgh 5 1 1 3 5:18 4
33 Clyde 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
34 Dundee Utd B 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
35 Cumbernauld Colts 5 0 2 3 4:13 2
36 Gala Fairydean Rovers 5 0 2 3 3:15 2
37 Cowdenbeath 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
38 Dundee FC B 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
39 Hibernian B 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
40 Motherwell B 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)