Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Queen of the South vs Hamilton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League One Palmerston Park, Dumfries
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Queen of the South host Hamilton in the League One. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Queen of the South have averaged 1.43 scored and 2.07 conceded recently, against Hamilton's 2.15 scored and 0.7 conceded. Past meetings favor Queen of the South slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 19, 2026, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 2.31, favoring Hamilton. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Queen of the South
15%
Draws
50%
Hamilton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hamilton come out ahead of Queen of the South on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Hamilton taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Queen of the South Clean Sheet 10%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queen of the South Hamilton
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 1.43 2.15
Goals Conceded 2.07 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 League One
Hamilton vs Queen of the South
4:1
Mar 14, 2026 League One
Hamilton vs Queen of the South
1:3
Dec 27, 2025 League One
Queen of the South vs Hamilton
4:1
Oct 24, 2025 League One
Hamilton vs Queen of the South
1:2
Aug 9, 2025 League One
Queen of the South vs Hamilton
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queen of the South 10 / 100
Hamilton 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queen of the South Hamilton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamilton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queen of the South scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Solid form: Queen of the South remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Hamilton let in goals in 48% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Queen of the South VS Hamilton
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Queen of the South

(Home)
24 Oct
Alloa
0 : 1
Queen of the South
17 Oct
Queen of the South
1 : 7
Ross County
13 Oct
Berwick
1 : 0
Queen of the South
10 Oct
Peterhead
0 : 1
Queen of the South
03 Oct
Queen of the South
4 : 3
Cove Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Hamilton

(Away)
27 Oct
Ross County
1 : 1
Hamilton
24 Oct
Hamilton
2 : 1
East Fife
17 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 2
Hamilton
13 Oct
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 2
Hamilton
10 Oct
Alloa
0 : 3
Hamilton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 12 10 2 0 43:7 32
2 Hamilton 12 10 2 0 26:5 32
3 Montrose 12 6 1 5 17:20 19
4 East Kilbride 11 5 3 3 20:15 18
5 Airdrieonians 12 3 4 5 10:19 13
6 Queen of the South 12 4 1 7 13:34 13
7 Alloa 12 3 3 6 12:14 12
8 Peterhead 12 3 1 8 9:20 10
9 East Fife 12 1 6 5 9:16 9
10 Cove Rangers 11 1 3 7 9:18 6
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)