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Queen of the South vs Ross County - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League One Palmerston Park, Dumfries
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Queen of the South host Ross County in the League One. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Ross County have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Queen of the South have conceded 1.87 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Ross County slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 15, 2026, ending 8:0. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 3.69, favoring Ross County. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Queen of the South
15%
Draws
58%
Ross County
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ross County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ross County come out ahead of Queen of the South on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ross County's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Queen of the South Clean Sheet 10%
Ross County Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queen of the South Ross County
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 23
Draws 10 3
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.5 3.06
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 3.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 League One
Ross County vs Queen of the South
8:0
Jul 19, 2025 League Cup
Queen of the South vs Ross County
0:1
Apr 26, 2019 Championship
Ross County vs Queen of the South
4:0
Jan 12, 2019 Championship
Queen of the South vs Ross County
4:0
Dec 8, 2018 Championship
Ross County vs Queen of the South
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queen of the South 10 / 100
Ross County 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queen of the South Ross County

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ross County Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queen of the South scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Ross County conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

Queen of the South has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Queen of the South VS Ross County
1.75 Goals Scored 4.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Queen of the South

(Home)
03 Oct
Queen of the South
4 : 3
Cove Rangers
26 Sept
Queen of the South
4 : 2
Rangers B
22 Sept
Queen of the South
1 : 1
Annan
19 Sept
Hamilton
4 : 1
Queen of the South
15 Sept
Ross County
8 : 0
Queen of the South
Page 1 of 6

Ross County

(Away)
03 Oct
Ross County
4 : 1
Alloa
26 Sept
Ross County
14 : 0
Hearts B
22 Sept
Clachnacuddin
1 : 5
Ross County
19 Sept
Cove Rangers
0 : 2
Ross County
15 Sept
Ross County
8 : 0
Queen of the South
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 8 7 1 0 26:5 22
2 Hamilton 8 7 1 0 18:2 22
3 East Kilbride 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
4 Montrose 9 5 0 4 13:14 15
5 Airdrieonians 9 3 3 3 7:11 12
6 Alloa 9 2 3 4 9:10 9
7 East Fife 9 1 5 3 7:10 8
8 Peterhead 9 2 1 6 7:16 7
9 Queen of the South 9 2 1 6 10:27 7
10 Cove Rangers 9 1 2 6 8:15 5
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)