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Stadium Background

Queen's Park vs Ayr - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Championship The City Stadium, Glasgow
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Holt K.
30' Event
Taylor R.
Penalty Missed
35' Event
Watret D.
Assist: McMann S.

AI Match Summary

Ayr in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ayr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Queen's Park
15%
Draws
59%
Ayr
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ayr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ayr lately — more wins on the board than Queen's Park.
  • Model gives Ayr a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Queen's Park Clean Sheet 19%
Ayr Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queen's Park Ayr
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Championship
Queen's Park vs Ayr
0:2
Mar 14, 2026 Championship
Queen's Park vs Ayr
1:1
Mar 10, 2026 Championship
Ayr vs Queen's Park
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Championship
Queen's Park vs Ayr
0:0
Aug 30, 2025 Championship
Ayr vs Queen's Park
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queen's Park Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Ayr Compare

Top Goalscorer Watret D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Landers J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queen's Park 20 / 100
Ayr 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queen's Park Ayr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayr Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ayr has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Queen's Park scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Queen's Park remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Queen's Park VS Ayr
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Queen's Park

(Home)
17 Oct
Morton
2 : 0
Queen's Park
13 Oct
Queen's Park
2 : 1
Inverness
10 Oct
Raith
2 : 0
Queen's Park
25 Sept
Arbroath
2 : 1
Queen's Park
18 Sept
Queen's Park
0 : 2
Ayr
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Ayr

(Away)
16 Oct
Ayr
0 : 1
Partick
10 Oct
Ayr
1 : 1
Dunfermline
03 Oct
Livingston
1 : 2
Ayr
25 Sept
Ayr
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
18 Sept
Queen's Park
0 : 2
Ayr
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 10 7 2 1 13:5 23
2 Partick 11 6 4 1 12:4 22
3 Raith 11 6 3 2 16:7 21
4 Inverness 11 4 4 3 14:11 16
5 Dunfermline 10 3 6 1 8:6 15
6 Livingston 11 4 2 5 14:11 14
7 Ayr 11 3 3 5 10:12 12
8 Arbroath 11 3 2 6 7:17 11
9 Morton 11 2 1 8 9:18 7
10 Queen's Park 11 2 1 8 6:18 7
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)