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Queens University vs Ballinamallard - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Queens University host Ballinamallard in the NIFL Championship. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Queens University at 2 goals for, 1.21 against; Ballinamallard at 1.03 for, 1.45 against. Head-to-head, Queens University have won 1 to Ballinamallard's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Dec 30, 2025, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.75 - 1.31) back Queens University to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Queens University
20%
Draws
38%
Ballinamallard
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Queens University

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Queens University lately — more wins on the board than Ballinamallard.
  • Queens University are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Queens University Clean Sheet 18%
Ballinamallard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queens University Ballinamallard
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 15 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 30, 2025 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Queens University
1:1
Nov 15, 2025 NIFL Championship
Queens University vs Ballinamallard
0:3
Sep 27, 2025 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Queens University
0:3
Jan 1, 2022 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Queens University
5:0
Nov 6, 2021 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Queens University
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queens University 58 / 100
Ballinamallard 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queens University Ballinamallard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Queens University Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ballinamallard conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Queens University scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Queens University has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Queens University VS Ballinamallard
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Queens University

(Home)
03 Oct
Dundela
0 : 2
Queens University
26 Sept
Queens University
0 : 1
Moyola
19 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
1 : 0
Queens University
12 Sept
Queens University
1 : 0
Loughgall
05 Sept
Queens University
6 : 0
Strabane Athletic
Page 1 of 6

Ballinamallard

(Away)
03 Oct
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Ards
26 Sept
Newington FC
4 : 0
Ballinamallard
19 Sept
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Ballinamallard
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Glenavon
05 Sept
Loughgall
1 : 6
Ballinamallard
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annagh 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
2 Glenavon 10 6 2 2 25:13 20
3 Newington FC 10 6 2 2 24:18 20
4 Queens University 10 6 1 3 20:7 19
5 Institute 10 5 1 4 20:17 16
6 Harland & Wolff 10 5 0 5 18:16 15
7 Newry City 10 4 3 3 16:18 15
8 Warrenpoint 10 4 2 4 18:15 14
9 Ballinamallard 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
10 Loughgall 10 3 4 3 14:19 13
11 Ards 10 3 3 4 12:13 12
12 Dundela 10 2 5 3 18:20 11
13 Moyola 10 3 2 5 10:20 11
14 Strabane Athletic 10 2 3 5 10:19 9
15 Rathfriland Rangers 10 2 0 8 9:22 6
16 Armagh 10 0 5 5 8:16 5
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)