Sport Picks
Queensland Lions U23 vs QLD State Team U17 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
NPL Queensland U23 
AI Match Summary
Queensland Lions U23 in this NPL Queensland U23 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Queensland Lions U23.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Queensland Lions U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Queensland Lions U23 have won more games recently than QLD State Team U17.
- Queensland Lions U23 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular NPL Queensland U23 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Queensland Lions U23 Clean Sheet 11%
QLD State Team U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Queensland Lions U23 | QLD State Team U17 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 23 | 22 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.35 | 2.09 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 2.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Queensland Lions U23 vs QLD State Team U17
2:1
May 12, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
QLD State Team U17 vs Queensland Lions U23
2:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Queensland Lions U23 56 / 100
QLD State Team U17 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Queensland Lions U23 QLD State Team U17
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Queensland Lions U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Queensland Lions U23 scored in 91% of their last 23 games.
QLD State Team U17 let in goals in 91% of their last 22 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: QLD State Team U17 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Queensland Lions U23 VS QLD State Team U17
2.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Queensland Lions U23
(Home) 30 Aug
Queensland Lions U23
2 : 3 Gold Coast Knights SC U23
16 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior U23
3 : 2 Queensland Lions U23
08 Aug
Queensland Lions U23
2 : 1 QLD State Team U17
01 Aug
Queensland Lions U23
3 : 0 Peninsula U23
18 Jul
Gold Coast U23
1 : 0 Queensland Lions U23
Page 1 of 5
30 Aug
Queensland Lions U23
2 : 3 Gold Coast Knights SC U23
08 Aug
Queensland Lions U23
2 : 1 QLD State Team U17
01 Aug
Queensland Lions U23
3 : 0 Peninsula U23
12 Jul
Queensland Lions U23
1 : 1 Eastern Suburbs U23
04 Jul
Queensland Lions U23
1 : 2 Olympic FC U23
Page 1 of 3
QLD State Team U17
(Away) 16 Aug
QLD State Team U17
3 : 4 Gold Coast Knights SC U23
08 Aug
Queensland Lions U23
2 : 1 QLD State Team U17
02 Aug
QLD State Team U17
4 : 3 Moreton City Excelsior U23
19 Jul
Olympic FC U23
1 : 2 QLD State Team U17
14 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior U23
1 : 0 QLD State Team U17
Page 1 of 5
08 Aug
Queensland Lions U23
2 : 1 QLD State Team U17
19 Jul
Olympic FC U23
1 : 2 QLD State Team U17
14 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior U23
1 : 0 QLD State Team U17
05 Jul
Brisbane City U23
0 : 2 QLD State Team U17
28 Jun
Peninsula U23
3 : 5 QLD State Team U17
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rochedale U23 | 22 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 61:27 | 50 |
| 2 | Moreton City Excelsior U23 | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 60:31 | 44 |
| 3 | Queensland Lions U23 | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 52:24 | 44 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights SC U23 | 22 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 58:39 | 43 |
| 5 | Gold Coast U23 | 22 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 52:45 | 41 |
| 6 | Eastern Suburbs U23 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 43:32 | 31 |
| 7 | QLD State Team U17 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 46:57 | 25 |
| 8 | Brisbane City U23 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 42:54 | 24 |
| 9 | Olympic FC U23 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 35:55 | 23 |
| 10 | Wynnum Wolves U23 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 29:52 | 21 |
| 11 | Peninsula U23 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 36:57 | 20 |
| 12 | Magic United TFA FC U23 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 27:68 | 16 |
Promotion - NPL Queensland U23 (Play Offs)
