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Queensland Lions U23 vs Rochedale U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland U23
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AI Match Summary

The NPL Queensland U23 game between Queensland Lions U23 and Rochedale U23 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Queensland Lions U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Queensland Lions U23
15%
Draws
61%
Rochedale U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rochedale U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Queensland Lions U23 haven't matched Rochedale U23's recent run of results.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Rochedale U23 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Queensland Lions U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Rochedale U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queensland Lions U23 Rochedale U23
Matches Played 23 24
Wins 13 18
Draws 5 2
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 2.35 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Queensland Lions U23 vs Rochedale U23
4:1
Mar 11, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Rochedale U23 vs Queensland Lions U23
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queensland Lions U23 10 / 100
Rochedale U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queensland Lions U23 Rochedale U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rochedale U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queensland Lions U23 found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (23 games).

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Rochedale U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 24 matches.

Queensland Lions U23 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Queensland Lions U23 VS Rochedale U23
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Queensland Lions U23

(Home)
30 Aug
Queensland Lions U23
2 : 3
Gold Coast Knights SC U23
16 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior U23
3 : 2
Queensland Lions U23
08 Aug
Queensland Lions U23
2 : 1
QLD State Team U17
01 Aug
Queensland Lions U23
3 : 0
Peninsula U23
18 Jul
Gold Coast U23
1 : 0
Queensland Lions U23
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Rochedale U23

(Away)
13 Sept
Rochedale U23
2 : 0
Moreton City Excelsior U23
28 Aug
Rochedale U23
3 : 1
Moreton City Excelsior U23
16 Aug
Olympic FC U23
1 : 3
Rochedale U23
08 Aug
Magic United TFA FC U23
1 : 4
Rochedale U23
01 Aug
Rochedale U23
3 : 1
Eastern Suburbs U23
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rochedale U23 22 16 2 4 61:27 50
2 Moreton City Excelsior U23 22 14 2 6 60:31 44
3 Queensland Lions U23 22 13 5 4 52:24 44
4 Gold Coast Knights SC U23 22 14 1 7 58:39 43
5 Gold Coast U23 22 13 2 7 52:45 41
6 Eastern Suburbs U23 22 9 4 9 43:32 31
7 QLD State Team U17 22 8 1 13 46:57 25
8 Brisbane City U23 22 7 3 12 42:54 24
9 Olympic FC U23 22 7 2 13 35:55 23
10 Wynnum Wolves U23 22 6 3 13 29:52 21
11 Peninsula U23 22 6 2 14 36:57 20
12 Magic United TFA FC U23 22 5 1 16 27:68 16
Promotion - NPL Queensland U23 (Play Offs)