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Queensland Lions vs Gold Coast Utd Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Lions Stadium, Brisbane
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Fiechtner A.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Queensland game between Queensland Lions and Gold Coast Utd finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Queensland Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Queensland Lions
15%
Draws
31%
Gold Coast Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Queensland Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Queensland Lions carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Queensland Lions are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NPL Queensland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Queensland Lions Clean Sheet 20%
Gold Coast Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queensland Lions Gold Coast Utd
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 25 8
Draws 2 2
Losses 4 20
Goals Scored 2.52 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.9 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.01
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Utd vs Queensland Lions
0:1
Apr 19, 2026 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Gold Coast Utd
1:0
Aug 9, 2025 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Utd vs Queensland Lions
0:2
May 18, 2025 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Utd vs Queensland Lions
4:2
Aug 4, 2024 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Gold Coast Utd
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queensland Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Fiechtner A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Gold Coast Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queensland Lions 85 / 100
Gold Coast Utd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queensland Lions Gold Coast Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Queensland Lions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queensland Lions found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (31 games).

Gold Coast Utd let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Queensland Lions remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Queensland Lions VS Gold Coast Utd
2.25 Goals Scored 1.14
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Queensland Lions

(Home)
15 Sept
South Melbourne
3 : 1
Queensland Lions
12 Sept
Queensland Lions
1 : 0
Peninsula
30 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 1
Peninsula
25 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 0
North Sunshine Eagles
14 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
0 : 2
Queensland Lions
Page 1 of 7

Gold Coast Utd

(Away)
14 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
2 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
08 Aug
Brisbane City
2 : 0
Gold Coast Utd
01 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
1 : 0
Gold Coast Knights SC
25 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
1 : 1
Gold Coast Utd
18 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
0 : 1
Queensland Lions
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Queensland Lions 22 17 2 3 57:22 53
2 Peninsula 22 13 6 3 49:27 45
3 Moreton City Excelsior 22 12 3 7 51:35 39
4 Gold Coast Knights SC 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
5 Brisbane City 22 9 7 6 47:48 34
6 Wynnum Wolves 22 9 6 7 36:40 33
7 Eastern Suburbs 22 9 2 11 34:35 29
8 Olympic FC 22 8 2 12 39:43 26
9 Magic United TFA FC 22 7 1 14 33:59 22
10 Rochedale 22 6 3 13 34:52 21
11 Gold Coast Utd 22 6 2 14 26:39 20
12 Brisbane Roar U23 22 5 1 16 32:52 16
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)