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Queensland Lions vs North Sunshine Eagles - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Australia Cup Lions Stadium, Brisbane
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Beakhurst F.
Assist: Debele E.
17'
Elibol K.
31' Event
Hore M.
Assist: Carlos S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Queensland Lions
15%
Draws
36%
North Sunshine Eagles
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Queensland Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Queensland Lions come out ahead of North Sunshine Eagles on wins alone.
  • Model gives Queensland Lions a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Queensland Lions have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Queensland Lions, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Queensland Lions Clean Sheet 20%
North Sunshine Eagles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queensland Lions North Sunshine Eagles
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 24 11
Draws 2 5
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 2.53 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Australia Cup
Queensland Lions vs North Sunshine Eagles
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queensland Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Hore M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Beakhurst F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

North Sunshine Eagles Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queensland Lions 85 / 100
North Sunshine Eagles 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queensland Lions North Sunshine Eagles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Queensland Lions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queensland Lions's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

North Sunshine Eagles let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Queensland Lions remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Queensland Lions VS North Sunshine Eagles
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Queensland Lions

(Home)
15 Sept
South Melbourne
3 : 1
Queensland Lions
12 Sept
Queensland Lions
1 : 0
Peninsula
30 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 1
Peninsula
25 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 0
North Sunshine Eagles
14 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
0 : 2
Queensland Lions
Page 1 of 6

North Sunshine Eagles

(Away)
30 Aug
Western United U21
0 : 3
North Sunshine Eagles
25 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 0
North Sunshine Eagles
22 Aug
North Sunshine Eagles
2 : 0
Brunswick City
17 Aug
Bulleen
2 : 1
North Sunshine Eagles
12 Aug
North Sunshine Eagles
1 : 0
Heidelberg Utd
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sydney Olympic 0
Brisbane Roar 3
Bayswater 1
Sydney FC 5
Rochedale 1
SD Raiders 2
Azzurri United 0
Macarthur FC 3
APIA Leichhardt 2
Peninsula 1
Sydney Utd 2
Central Coast 1
Tigers FC 0
Western Sydney Wanderers 2
Kingborough Lions 0
Melbourne Victory 4
Marlin Coast 0
Brunswick Juventus 4
Preston Lions 3
Newcastle Jets 2
South Melbourne 2
Adelaide Utd 1
Maitland 1
Fremantle City 2
Weston Workers Bears 0
Melbourne City 3
Queensland Lions 2
Perth Glory 1
FK Beograd 2
North Sunshine Eagles 3
Cumberland United 0
Heidelberg Utd 3
1/8-finals
Brisbane Roar 2
Sydney FC 4
SD Raiders 2
Macarthur FC 1
APIA Leichhardt 2
Sydney Utd 1
Western Sydney Wanderers 1
Melbourne Victory 2
Brunswick Juventus 1
Preston Lions 4
South Melbourne 4
Fremantle City 3
Melbourne City 0
Queensland Lions 2
North Sunshine Eagles 1
Heidelberg Utd 0
Quarter-finals
Sydney FC 1
SD Raiders 0
APIA Leichhardt 0
Melbourne Victory 1
Preston Lions 1
South Melbourne 2
Queensland Lions 4
North Sunshine Eagles 0
Semi-finals
Sydney FC 0
Melbourne Victory 2
South Melbourne 3
Queensland Lions 1
Final
Melbourne Victory -
South Melbourne -