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Queensland Lions vs Olympic FC

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Lions Stadium, Brisbane
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Fiechtner A.
90' Event
Broderick L.

AI Match Summary

Queensland Lions in this NPL Queensland matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Queensland Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Queensland Lions
15%
Draws
28%
Olympic FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Queensland Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Queensland Lions have won more games recently than Olympic FC.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Queensland Lions taking it.
  • Regular NPL Queensland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Queensland Lions have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Queensland Lions Clean Sheet 20%
Olympic FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queensland Lions Olympic FC
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 26 10
Draws 2 3
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 2.44 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Olympic FC
2:0
Feb 21, 2026 NPL Queensland
Olympic FC vs Queensland Lions
2:1
Aug 15, 2025 NPL Queensland
Olympic FC vs Queensland Lions
0:3
May 3, 2025 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Olympic FC
2:1
Jun 8, 2024 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Olympic FC
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queensland Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Fiechtner A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Broderick L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Olympic FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.68

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queensland Lions 85 / 100
Olympic FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queensland Lions Olympic FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Queensland Lions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Queensland Lions scored in 97% of their last 34 outings.

Olympic FC has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Queensland Lions stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Queensland Lions VS Olympic FC
2.25 Goals Scored 1.57
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 86%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Queensland Lions

(Home)
15 Sept
South Melbourne
3 : 1
Queensland Lions
12 Sept
Queensland Lions
1 : 0
Peninsula
30 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 1
Peninsula
25 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 0
North Sunshine Eagles
14 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
0 : 2
Queensland Lions
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Olympic FC

(Away)
04 Sept
Olympic FC
3 : 4
Brisbane Roar
14 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2
Rochedale
08 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2
Moreton City Excelsior
02 Aug
Magic United TFA FC
0 : 3
Olympic FC
19 Jul
Olympic FC
3 : 1
Brisbane Roar U23
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Queensland Lions 22 17 2 3 57:22 53
2 Peninsula 22 13 6 3 49:27 45
3 Moreton City Excelsior 22 12 3 7 51:35 39
4 Gold Coast Knights SC 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
5 Brisbane City 22 9 7 6 47:48 34
6 Wynnum Wolves 22 9 6 7 36:40 33
7 Eastern Suburbs 22 9 2 11 34:35 29
8 Olympic FC 22 8 2 12 39:43 26
9 Magic United TFA FC 22 7 1 14 33:59 22
10 Rochedale 22 6 3 13 34:52 21
11 Gold Coast Utd 22 6 2 14 26:39 20
12 Brisbane Roar U23 22 5 1 16 32:52 16
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)