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Queensland Lions vs Olympic FC

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Lions Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Fiechtner A.
90' Event
Broderick L.

AI Match Summary

Queensland Lions in this NPL Queensland matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Queensland Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Queensland Lions
6%
Draws
4%
Olympic FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Queensland Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Queensland Lions have won more games recently than Olympic FC.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Queensland Lions taking it.
  • Regular NPL Queensland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Queensland Lions have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Queensland Lions Clean Sheet 18%
Olympic FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queensland Lions Olympic FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 19 10
Draws 3 3
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 3.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Olympic FC
2:0
Feb 21, 2026 NPL Queensland
Olympic FC vs Queensland Lions
2:1
Aug 15, 2025 NPL Queensland
Olympic FC vs Queensland Lions
0:3
May 3, 2025 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Olympic FC
2:1
Jun 8, 2024 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Olympic FC
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queensland Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Fiechtner A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Broderick L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Olympic FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queensland Lions 85 / 100
Olympic FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queensland Lions Olympic FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Queensland Lions scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Olympic FC has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Queensland Lions stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Queensland Lions VS Olympic FC
3.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Peninsula18133243:2042
2Queensland Lions18132349:2041
3Moreton City Excelsior18112547:2835
4Gold Coast Knights SC17103440:2533
5Eastern Suburbs1891832:2728
6Brisbane City1876538:3927
7Wynnum Wolves1875629:3426
8Olympic FC18621031:3820
9Rochedale18431127:4515
10Gold Coast Utd17411222:3513
11Brisbane Roar U2318411326:4313
12Magic United TFA FC18411324:5413