Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Queimadense vs Cruzeiro-PB

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-4, with Cruzeiro-PB advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Queimadense
30%
Draws
62%
Cruzeiro-PB
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cruzeiro-PB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Cruzeiro-PB carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cruzeiro-PB a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Cruzeiro-PB arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cruzeiro-PB, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cruzeiro-PB here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Queimadense Clean Sheet 20%
Cruzeiro-PB Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queimadense Cruzeiro-PB
Matches Played 29 23
Wins 6 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.24 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2025 Paraibano 2
Queimadense vs Cruzeiro-PB
2:3
Sep 26, 2024 Paraibano 2
Queimadense vs Cruzeiro-PB
2:4
Sep 8, 2024 Paraibano 2
Queimadense vs Cruzeiro-PB
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queimadense 12 / 100
Cruzeiro-PB 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queimadense Cruzeiro-PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cruzeiro-PB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruzeiro-PB let in goals in 87% of their last 23 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.33 goals when they meet.

Queimadense's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Queimadense remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Queimadense VS Cruzeiro-PB
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Queimadense

(Home)
21 Sept
Sabugy
3 : 1
Queimadense
18 Sept
Queimadense
2 : 3
Cruzeiro-PB
14 Sept
Atletico Cajazeirense
3 : 0
Queimadense
11 Sept
Queimadense
1 : 1
Confianca PB
08 Sept
Spartax
4 : 2
Queimadense
Page 1 of 6

Cruzeiro-PB

(Away)
04 Oct
Cruzeiro-PB
2 : 2
Confianca PB
28 Sept
Confianca PB
1 : 0
Cruzeiro-PB
21 Sept
Cruzeiro-PB
2 : 1
Desportiva Guarabira
18 Sept
Queimadense
2 : 3
Cruzeiro-PB
14 Sept
Confianca PB
1 : 1
Cruzeiro-PB
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Spartax 1
Picuiense 2
Auto Esporte -
TBD -
Queimadense 2
Cruzeiro-PB 4
EC de Patos -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Picuiense 0
Auto Esporte 4
Cruzeiro-PB 2
EC de Patos 3
Final
Auto Esporte 1
EC de Patos 0