Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Quepos Cambute vs Santa Cruz

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Quepos Cambute play Santa Cruz in the Liga de Ascenso. Quepos Cambute are favorites here. Recently, Quepos Cambute averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. Santa Cruz averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Quepos Cambute won 4, Santa Cruz won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 22, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Quepos Cambute and 1.19 for Santa Cruz. This points to a Quepos Cambute double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Quepos Cambute
18%
Draws
25%
Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Quepos Cambute

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Quepos Cambute picked up more points recently compared to Santa Cruz.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Quepos Cambute Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quepos Cambute Santa Cruz
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 15 6
Draws 5 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.64 1.08
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Quepos Cambute vs Santa Cruz
2:1
Feb 8, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs Quepos Cambute
1:2
Oct 26, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs Quepos Cambute
0:2
Sep 7, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Quepos Cambute vs Santa Cruz
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quepos Cambute Compare

Top Goalscorer Vega D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosales J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quepos Cambute 55 / 100
Santa Cruz 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quepos Cambute Santa Cruz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Quepos Cambute Win (1)
Secondary Pick Quepos Cambute & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Quepos Cambute attacking → ← attacking Santa Cruz

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Quepos Cambute scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Santa Cruz let in goals in 81% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Quepos Cambute went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Santa Cruz lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 27
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1ADR Jicaral1493225:1230
2Inter San Carlos1484225:1428
3Quepos Cambute1491430:2128
4Santa Cruz1445519:1717
5Grecia1445516:1817
6AD Sarchi1445519:2317
7Cofutpa1424814:2710
8Dep. Upala1405915:315
9Municipal Turrialba00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Escorpiones14102233:1032
2CS Uruguay1472525:2023
3Pitbulls1464420:1622
4Consultants Desamparados1454519:1919
5Cariari Pococi1436519:2315
6Aserri1428415:2814
7Santa Ana1333719:2812
8Carmelita1325610:1611
9Limon Black Star00000:00