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Quepos FC vs Santa Cruz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Cane R.
19' Event
Jimenez A.
41'

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between Quepos FC and Santa Cruz finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Quepos FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Quepos FC
15%
Draws
21%
Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Quepos FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Quepos FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Quepos FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Quepos FC have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Quepos FC Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quepos FC Santa Cruz
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 17 6
Draws 3 6
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.86 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs Quepos FC
0:2
Aug 2, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Quepos FC vs Santa Cruz
4:0
Mar 22, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Quepos FC vs Santa Cruz
2:1
Feb 8, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs Quepos FC
1:2
Oct 26, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs Quepos FC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quepos FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Obregon K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cane R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Santa Cruz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quepos FC 67 / 100
Santa Cruz 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quepos FC Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Quepos FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Santa Cruz conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

Quepos FC found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Quepos FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Quepos FC VS Santa Cruz
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Quepos FC

(Home)
11 Oct
Quepos FC
2 : 1
AD Sarchi
03 Oct
AD Rosario
1 : 0
Quepos FC
27 Sept
Quepos FC
1 : 0
Grecia
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
0 : 2
Quepos FC
06 Sept
ADR Jicaral
2 : 0
Quepos FC
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Santa Cruz

(Away)
11 Oct
Santa Cruz
0 : 3
ADR Jicaral
04 Oct
Grecia
1 : 0
Santa Cruz
27 Sept
Cofutpa
3 : 1
Santa Cruz
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
0 : 2
Quepos FC
13 Sept
Santa Cruz
4 : 0
AD Sarchi
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 9 6 3 0 15:5 21
2 Quepos FC 9 5 1 3 13:7 16
3 Grecia 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
4 AD Rosario 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
5 AD Sarchi 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
6 Santa Cruz 9 2 0 7 11:19 6
7 Cofutpa 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 11 8 0 3 19:10 24
2 Pitbulls 10 5 4 1 18:13 19
3 Cariari Pococi 11 4 4 3 12:11 16
4 Carmelita 11 4 3 4 19:13 15
5 Aserri 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
6 Guadalupe 11 3 3 5 15:19 12
7 FC Moravia 11 3 1 7 12:14 10
8 CS Uruguay 11 2 3 6 9:23 9
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)