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Queretaro U21 vs Mazatlan FC U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 Estadio CEGAR Cancha 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Queretaro U21 play Mazatlan FC U21 in the Liga MX U21. Queretaro U21 are favorites here. Recently, Queretaro U21 averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. Mazatlan FC U21 averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Queretaro U21 won 2, Mazatlan FC U21 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 17, 2026 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Queretaro U21 and 0.81 for Mazatlan FC U21. This points to a Queretaro U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Queretaro U21
15%
Draws
28%
Mazatlan FC U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Queretaro U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Queretaro U21 picked up more points recently compared to Mazatlan FC U21.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Queretaro U21 Clean Sheet 26%
Mazatlan FC U21 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queretaro U21 Mazatlan FC U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 0 0
Losses 19 22
Goals Scored 1.3 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Liga MX U21
Mazatlan FC U21 vs Queretaro U21
0:4
Nov 2, 2025 Liga MX U21
Queretaro U21 vs Mazatlan FC U21
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queretaro U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Mazatlan FC U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Saavedra Nevarez A. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Velazquez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queretaro U21 57 / 100
Mazatlan FC U21 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queretaro U21 Mazatlan FC U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Queretaro U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Queretaro U21 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Queretaro U21 attacking → ← attacking Mazatlan FC U21

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queretaro U21 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Mazatlan FC U21 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Queretaro U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mazatlan FC U21 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 24
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.25
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tigres UANL U2117140336:1343
2Pachuca U2117130438:1239
3Santos Laguna U211790830:1830
4Cruz Azul U2117100721:2029
5Toluca U2117100722:1728
6Juarez U211780914:1227
7UNAM Pumas U211790826:3027
8Club Tijuana U211780923:2426
9Guadalajara Chivas U211790822:2326
10Puebla U2117100713:1826
11Club Leon U211790826:2425
12Necaxa U211790813:1922
13Club America U2117601114:2221
14Monterrey U2117701026:3320
15Mazatlan FC U2117601121:2819
16Atletico San Luis U2117601123:3219
17Atlas U2117701022:3318
18Queretaro U2117301416:2814