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Queretaro vs Club America - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio La Corregidora, Querétaro
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Homenchenko S.
27'
Cervantes A.
42'
Alvarez K.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX game between Queretaro and Club America finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Club America.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Queretaro
35%
Draws
21%
Club America
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Queretaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Club America come out ahead of Queretaro on wins alone.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Queretaro taking it.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Club America here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Queretaro Clean Sheet 19%
Club America Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queretaro Club America
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.28
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Club America
0:1
Mar 7, 2026 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Club America
1:2
Aug 10, 2025 Liga MX
Club America vs Queretaro
1:0
Jan 11, 2025 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Club America
0:1
Jul 13, 2024 Liga MX
Club America vs Queretaro
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queretaro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Club America Compare

Top Goalscorer Violante I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.16
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queretaro 85 / 100
Club America 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queretaro Club America

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Queretaro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queretaro has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Queretaro's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Club America conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Queretaro VS Club America
1.43 Goals Scored 2
0.57 Goals Conceded 1.38
71% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Queretaro

(Home)
10 Oct
Queretaro
2 : 0
Atlante
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
0 : 2
Queretaro
21 Sept
Queretaro
1 : 1
Club Leon
12 Sept
Club Tijuana
0 : 1
Queretaro
29 Aug
Atlas
1 : 3
Queretaro
Page 1 of 6

Club America

(Away)
11 Oct
Club America
1 : 1
Monterrey
05 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas
2 : 0
Club America
02 Oct
Club America
0 : 0
Cruz Azul
28 Sept
Necaxa
2 : 4
Club America
20 Sept
Club America
2 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 10 6 3 1 22:11 21
2 Toluca 11 6 2 3 25:15 20
3 Queretaro 10 6 2 2 15:8 20
4 Guadalajara Chivas 11 5 4 2 18:11 19
5 Club Leon 11 5 3 3 15:12 18
6 Atlas 11 5 3 3 17:18 18
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
9 Puebla 11 4 3 4 12:13 15
10 Monterrey 10 4 2 4 17:15 14
11 Tigres UANL 11 3 4 4 13:15 13
12 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
13 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
14 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
15 Atlante 11 2 5 4 12:17 11
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 11 1 1 9 8:26 4
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)