Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Queretaro vs Mazatlan FC

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX 2025/2026 Estadio La Corregidora, Querétaro
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Esquivel J.
46'
Sub
Benedetti N. In: Duarte A.
Out: Benedetti N.
55'
Villanueva C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX 2025/2026 game between Queretaro and Mazatlan FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Queretaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Queretaro
6%
Draws
4%
Mazatlan FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Queretaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mazatlan FC haven't matched Queretaro's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Queretaro taking it.
  • Regular Liga MX 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Queretaro Clean Sheet 68%
Mazatlan FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queretaro Mazatlan FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 10 10
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Liga MX
Mazatlan FC vs Queretaro
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Mazatlan FC
1:0
Mar 15, 2025 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Mazatlan FC
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 Liga MX
Mazatlan FC vs Queretaro
2:2
Apr 13, 2024 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Mazatlan FC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queretaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Avila A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Mazatlan FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queretaro 95 / 100
Mazatlan FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queretaro Mazatlan FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazatlan FC has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Queretaro found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Queretaro remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Queretaro VS Mazatlan FC
1 Goals Scored 1.29
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.43
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Queretaro

(Home)
19 Jul
Queretaro
0 : 1
Club America
03 Jul
Austin FC
0 : 1
Queretaro
26 Jun
Queretaro
2 : 2
Atletico San Luis
20 Jun
Reboceros de La Piedad
0 : 2
Queretaro
25 Apr
Puebla
1 : 2
Queretaro
Page 1 of 6

Mazatlan FC

(Away)
25 Apr
Tigres UANL
5 : 1
Mazatlan FC
23 Apr
Mazatlan FC
4 : 3
Toluca
18 Apr
Mazatlan FC
1 : 1
Queretaro
12 Apr
UNAM Pumas
3 : 1
Mazatlan FC
04 Apr
Necaxa
2 : 1
Mazatlan FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Toluca17114243:1837
2Tigres UANL17106135:1636
3Cruz Azul17105232:2035
4Club America17104333:1834
5Monterrey1794433:2931
6Guadalajara Chivas1792629:2229
7Club Tijuana1766529:2324
8Juarez1765627:2823
9Pachuca1764721:2122
10UNAM Pumas1756624:2521
11Santos Laguna1762922:2820
12Queretaro1762919:2920
13Necaxa1745824:3217
14Atlas1745824:3517
15Atletico San Luis17511125:2916
16Mazatlan FC1728720:2914
17Club Leon17341014:3113
18Puebla17331121:4212
Promotion - Liga MX 2025/2026 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga MX 2025/2026 (Apertura - Play In)