Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Queretaro vs Puebla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio La Corregidora, Querétaro
Mon, Nov 9, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Queretaro host Puebla in the Liga MX. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Puebla have shipped 1.93 goals a game lately, while Queretaro have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.14. Past meetings favor Queretaro slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.13) point toward Queretaro. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Queretaro
20%
Draws
20%
Puebla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Queretaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Queretaro come out ahead of Puebla on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Queretaro have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Queretaro Clean Sheet 20%
Puebla Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queretaro Puebla
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.14 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga MX
Puebla vs Queretaro
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Puebla
3:1
Mar 2, 2025 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Puebla
2:0
Sep 14, 2024 Liga MX
Puebla vs Queretaro
2:1
Feb 24, 2024 Liga MX
Puebla vs Queretaro
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queretaro 31 / 100
Puebla 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queretaro Puebla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Queretaro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puebla let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Queretaro's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Puebla registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Queretaro VS Puebla
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Queretaro

(Home)
26 Oct
Queretaro
1 : 3
Cruz Azul
21 Oct
Atletico San Luis
2 : 1
Queretaro
17 Oct
Santos Laguna
5 : 0
Queretaro
10 Oct
Queretaro
2 : 0
Atlante
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
0 : 2
Queretaro
Page 1 of 6

Puebla

(Away)
25 Oct
Atlas
4 : 3
Puebla
22 Oct
Puebla
1 : 4
Monterrey
17 Oct
Club Tijuana
0 : 0
Puebla
10 Oct
Puebla
1 : 1
Club Leon
27 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 0
Puebla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 14 8 4 2 34:19 28
2 Cruz Azul 14 8 2 4 32:23 26
3 Guadalajara Chivas 14 7 5 2 21:12 26
4 Atlas 14 7 3 4 25:26 24
5 Toluca 14 6 5 3 29:19 23
6 Club Leon 14 6 4 4 21:18 22
7 Club Tijuana 14 5 6 3 22:18 21
8 Monterrey 13 6 2 5 23:18 20
9 Queretaro 13 6 2 5 17:18 20
10 Santos Laguna 14 6 1 7 20:20 19
11 Atletico San Luis 14 5 4 5 19:22 19
12 UNAM Pumas 14 4 5 5 20:23 17
13 Pachuca 14 4 4 6 22:19 16
14 Puebla 14 4 4 6 16:21 16
15 Tigres UANL 14 3 6 5 15:19 15
16 Atlante 14 3 5 6 14:20 14
17 Necaxa 14 2 4 8 16:27 10
18 Juarez 14 1 2 11 9:33 5
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)