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Queretaro W vs Cruz Azul W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio La Corregidora, Querétaro
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Lunyamila E.
46'
Sub
Chanda G. In: Cecena S.
Out: Chanda G.
46'
Sub
Lunyamila E. In: Grant G.
Out: Lunyamila E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women game between Queretaro W and Cruz Azul W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cruz Azul W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Queretaro W
15%
Draws
64%
Cruz Azul W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cruz Azul W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cruz Azul W come out ahead of Queretaro W on wins alone.
  • Cruz Azul W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cruz Azul W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Queretaro W Clean Sheet 10%
Cruz Azul W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queretaro W Cruz Azul W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 15
Draws 2 5
Losses 24 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.87
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Liga MX Women
Queretaro W vs Cruz Azul W
0:2
Jan 31, 2026 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Queretaro W
3:1
Oct 17, 2025 Liga MX Women
Queretaro W vs Cruz Azul W
1:4
Mar 28, 2025 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Queretaro W
0:0
Oct 31, 2024 Liga MX Women
Queretaro W vs Cruz Azul W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queretaro W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Cruz Azul W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queretaro W 18 / 100
Cruz Azul W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queretaro W Cruz Azul W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cruz Azul W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruz Azul W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Queretaro W found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Queretaro W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Queretaro W VS Cruz Azul W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Queretaro W

(Home)
03 Oct
Queretaro W
0 : 1
Atletico San Luis W
26 Sept
Queretaro W
0 : 1
Atlas W
21 Sept
Atlante W
2 : 1
Queretaro W
13 Sept
Puebla W
2 : 6
Queretaro W
06 Sept
Queretaro W
0 : 2
Cruz Azul W
Page 1 of 6

Cruz Azul W

(Away)
04 Oct
Necaxa W
0 : 2
Cruz Azul W
26 Sept
Cruz Azul W
0 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas W
22 Sept
Santos Laguna W
2 : 0
Cruz Azul W
12 Sept
Cruz Azul W
3 : 2
UNAM Pumas W
06 Sept
Queretaro W
0 : 2
Cruz Azul W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)